CHINA TELECOM (Germany) Price Prediction

ZCH Stock  EUR 0.52  0.00  0.00%   
At this time, the value of RSI of CHINA TELECOM's share price is approaching 37. This usually means that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CHINA TELECOM, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

37

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CHINA TELECOM's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CHINA TELECOM H , which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using CHINA TELECOM hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CHINA TELECOM H from the perspective of CHINA TELECOM response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CHINA TELECOM to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CHINA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CHINA TELECOM after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 0.52  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out CHINA TELECOM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.441.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.501.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.520.520.52
Details

CHINA TELECOM After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CHINA TELECOM at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CHINA TELECOM or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CHINA TELECOM, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CHINA TELECOM Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CHINA TELECOM's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CHINA TELECOM's historical news coverage. CHINA TELECOM's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 1.76, respectively. We have considered CHINA TELECOM's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.52
0.52
After-hype Price
1.76
Upside
CHINA TELECOM is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CHINA TELECOM H is based on 3 months time horizon.

CHINA TELECOM Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CHINA TELECOM is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CHINA TELECOM backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CHINA TELECOM, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
1.24
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.52
0.52
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

CHINA TELECOM Hype Timeline

CHINA TELECOM H is at this time traded for 0.52on Munich Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CHINA is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on CHINA TELECOM is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.52. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.6. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. CHINA TELECOM H has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.06. The entity last dividend was issued on the May 31, 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out CHINA TELECOM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CHINA TELECOM Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CHINA TELECOM's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CHINA TELECOM's future price movements. Getting to know how CHINA TELECOM's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CHINA TELECOM may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

CHINA TELECOM Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CHINA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CHINA using various technical indicators. When you analyze CHINA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CHINA TELECOM Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CHINA TELECOM stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CHINA TELECOM H , already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CHINA TELECOM based on analysis of CHINA TELECOM hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CHINA TELECOM's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CHINA TELECOM's related companies.

Story Coverage note for CHINA TELECOM

The number of cover stories for CHINA TELECOM depends on current market conditions and CHINA TELECOM's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CHINA TELECOM is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CHINA TELECOM's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

CHINA TELECOM Short Properties

CHINA TELECOM's future price predictability will typically decrease when CHINA TELECOM's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CHINA TELECOM H often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CHINA TELECOM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CHINA TELECOM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding91.5 B
Dividends Paid8.4 B
Short Long Term Debt9.1 B

Additional Tools for CHINA Stock Analysis

When running CHINA TELECOM's price analysis, check to measure CHINA TELECOM's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CHINA TELECOM is operating at the current time. Most of CHINA TELECOM's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CHINA TELECOM's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CHINA TELECOM's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CHINA TELECOM to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.