The average rating for the company from one analyst is a "Strong Buy". We offer trading advice that aligns with the prevailing
expert consensus on Emerald Expositions. Our sophisticated recommendation engine employs a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's growth potential, utilizing all available technical and fundamental data at the time.
Emerald Expositions has a Net Profit Margin of
0.35 %. This suggests that the company may need to reconsider its competitive strategy, as even a minor decrease in revenue could wipe out profits, resulting in a net loss. This is significantly below average. Similarly, it has a Net Operating Margin of
(0.01) %, indicating that for every $100 of revenue, it incurs a loss of $0.01.
Detailed assessment
Emerald Expositions Events, a prominent player in the Advertising Agencies industry, has been catching the eye of investors with its promising performance metrics. The company's stock, which last closed at a price of
$4.58, has shown a potential upside of
4.33%, indicating a promising growth trajectory for those willing to ride the wave. The company's robust Jensen Alpha of
0.1655 further underscores its ability to generate excess returns, making it an attractive option for investors seeking to maximize their portfolio's performance. Despite a downside deviation of 3.34, the company's total risk alpha stands at
0.0157, suggesting that the stock's returns have a low correlation with the market, thereby offering a degree of protection against market volatility. While the company did report a loss in the previous fiscal year ending in December, the current market risk adjusted performance of
0.265 signals a potential turnaround, making Emerald Expositions Events a stock to watch in August.
The successful prediction of Emerald Expositions
stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published
stock prices of traded companies, such as Emerald Expositions Events, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at
the intrinsic value of Emerald Expositions based on Emerald Expositions hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used
predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Emerald Expositions's
market risk, different
technical and
fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then
comparing them to Emerald Expositions's related companies.
Use Technical Analysis to project Emerald expected Price
Emerald Expositions technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Emerald Expositions technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Emerald Expositions trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions.
More Info...Emerald Expositions Gross Profit
Emerald Expositions Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Emerald Expositions previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Emerald Expositions Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Emerald Expositions'
gross profit and other
fundamental indicators for more details.
What is driving Emerald Expositions Investor Appetite?
The current rise in Emerald Expositions short term price appreciation could raise concerns from investors as the firm is trading at a share price of
4.58 on very low momentum in volume. The company directors and management have successfully maneuvered the firm at convenient times to take advantage of all market conditions in
June. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 2.75. The current volatility is consistent with the ongoing market swings in
June 2023 as well as with Emerald Expositions unsystematic, company-specific events.
Deferred Revenue Breakdown
Emerald Expositions Deferred Revenue yearly trend continues to be fairly stable with very little volatility. Deferred Revenue will likely drop to about 143.4
M in 2023. Deferred Revenue usually refers to a component of Total Liabilities representing the carrying amount of consideration received or receivable on potential earnings that were not recognized as revenue; including sales; license fees; and royalties; but excluding interest income. Where this item is not contained on the company consolidated financial statements and cannot otherwise be imputed the value of 0 is used. Emerald Expositions Deferred Revenue is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Emerald Expositions reported Deferred Revenue of 151.2 Million in 2022
| 2016 | 171.6 Million |
| 2017 | 192.6 Million |
| 2018 | 192.4 Million |
| 2019 | 187.3 Million |
| 2020 | 48.6 Million |
| 2021 | 118.1 Million |
| 2022 | 151.2 Million |
| 2023 | 143.36 Million |
Emerald Expositions Events, a prominent player in the Communication Services sector, particularly in Media, has been garnering attention in the stock market. With a market capitalization of
$294.63M and a total asset value of
$1.1B, the company has a strong financial standing. The company's EBITDA stands at $249.9M, underpinned by a gross profit of $210.6M and a robust net income of $130.8M. Emerald Expositions Events'
financial health is further demonstrated by its current ratio of 1.28X, indicating its ability to meet short-term obligations. The company's cash flow from operations is $175.1M, with cash and equivalents amounting to $231.2M. However, the company's debt to equity ratio of 1.62% and a probability of bankruptcy at 45.90% are areas of concern. Despite a downside deviation of 3.34 and a variance of 7.54, the company's stock shows potential with a target price of $12. The company's shares outstanding are 62.87M, with 20.58% owned by institutions and 1.61% by insiders. The question remains, will Emerald Expositions Events stock soar higher in August? Given the company's
financial performance and market position, it's a possibility worth considering.
Emerald may start a recoup in August
Emerald Expositions Events Inc., a premier operator of business-to-business trade shows in the United States, has experienced a significant downturn, with its peak value declining to 14.52 as of today. Despite this substantial decrease, it may be paving the way for a potential rebound. Given the company's solid business model and strategic initiatives, there's a chance that Emerald could begin to recover its losses starting in August. Investors should closely monitor this stock as it could offer a buying opportunity in the upcoming weeks. Emerald Expositions Events displays above-average downside volatility for the chosen time frame. We recommend investors to further scrutinize Emerald Expositions Events and ensure that all
market timing and asset allocation strategies align with the forecast of Emerald Expositions' future alpha. Understanding varying
market volatility trends often assists investors in market timing. Proper utilization of volatility indicators allows traders to assess the risk of Emerald Expositions' stock against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends.
The heightened level of volatility that accompanies bear markets can directly affect
Emerald Expositions' stock price, adding stress to investors as they watch the value of their shares plummet. This typically compels investors to rebalance their portfolios by purchasing different stocks as prices drop. In conclusion, Emerald Expositions Events (EEX) presents a compelling growth case for investors. With a current market value of
4.58, the stock is significantly undervalued compared to the analyst target price estimated value of
12. This represents a potential upside of over 160%. The strong buy consensus from analysts further strengthens the investment case. The company's real value of 6.35 also suggests that there is room for growth. Considering these factors, EEX could be a valuable addition to a growth-focused investment portfolio. .
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Raphi Shpitalnik is a Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Raphael is a young entrepreneur who joined Macroaxis on a part-time basis at the beginning of the pandemic and eventually acquired a real taste for investing and fintech. He likes to analyze different equity instruments across a wide range of industries, focusing primarily on consumer products, sports, fintech, cannabis, and AI.
View Profile This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Emerald Expositions Events. Please refer to our
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