Will Exelixis (USA Stocks:EXEL) price continue to rise in November?

Considering Exelixis' stock is hovering near its 52-week high of 29.75 and boasts a robust Jensen Alpha of 0.30, it might be an opportune moment to reassess your position for potential upside gains.

Main Points

Exelixis stock is currently rated as a "Buy" by 22 analysts. But is this consensus driven by technical analysis? Typically, technical analysis involves examining price momentum, patterns, and trends to gauge market sentiment and predict future value. Looking at Exelixis, about 87% of its shares are owned by institutions like insurance companies, which indicates strong institutional interest. The company’s book value stands at $7.43, and it has a Price/Earnings to Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.2. It's worth noting that Exelixis hasn't issued dividends in recent years. These factors provide insight into the stock's potential, highlighting both its strengths and areas where investors may want more information.
Published over a month ago
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Reviewed by Raphi Shpitalnik

Exelixis, a player in the biotechnology sector, is currently catching the eye of investors who are keen on spotting potential gains. The stock's technical indicators present a mixed bag. The 50-day moving average stands at 26.61, slightly above the 200-day moving average of 23.50, suggesting a bullish trend in the short term. However, with a PEG ratio of 2.20, the stock might be considered overvalued relative to its growth prospects. The short interest ratio of 5.04 indicates a moderate level of skepticism among investors, though the overall analyst consensus leans towards a "Buy." With target prices ranging from 23.44 to 28.59, there's room for upward movement, but caution is advised given the potential downside to 27.03. Balancing these factors, it might be a good moment to reassess your position in Exelixis, especially if you're aiming to capitalize on its current momentum. Although some millennials might overlook the biotechnology sector, it's worth highlighting Exelixis due to its promising prospects. Recently, the company has been gaining traction as institutional investors grow increasingly confident in its future. Over the past few months, Exelixis's performance has shown a noticeable correlation with broader market trends. Both technical and fundamental indicators suggest that long-term gains could be on the horizon for its investors. Exelixis is set to release its earnings report today.
Using predictive technical analysis, we can analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Exelixis. In general, sophisticated investors focus on analyzing Exelixis stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. They apply predictive analytics to build Exelixis's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Exelixis's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Exelixis, many experienced traders also check how macroeconomic factors affect Exelixis price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Exelixis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

How does Exelixis Stands against Peers?

Analyzing Exelixis competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Exelixis across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be. Check out Exelixis Competition Details

Exelixis Gross Profit

Exelixis Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Exelixis previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Exelixis Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Exelixis' gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Closer look at Exelixis Mean Deviation

Exelixis has current Mean Deviation of 1.43. The mean deviation of the equity instrument is the first measure of the distances between each value of security historical prices and the mean. It gives us an idea of how spread out from the center the distribution of returns.
Mean Deviation is the average of the absolute values of the differences between price distribution numbers and their mean. Mean deviation of equity instrument with a lot of historical data is a biased estimator because the time horizon used in calculation will always be much smaller than the entire price history of the equity.
The mean deviation is typically used as a measure of dispersion for small investment horizon, otherwise standard deviation is a better measure of dispersion.

Mean Deviation

 = 

SUM(RET DEV)

N

 = 
1.43
SUM = Summation notation
RET DEV = Sum of return deviations of Exelixis
N = Number of calculation points for selected time horizon
Let's now compare Exelixis Mean Deviation to its closest peers:
EXEL
HALO
XFOR
PDSB
KOD
EXEL1.4294257483930213
HALO1.74
XFOR3.44
PDSB3.07
KOD3.37
Timing is everything, especially when it comes to investing. Exelixis, trading on the NASDAQ, has shown a steady performance with a 52-week high of $29.75, suggesting potential room for growth as it currently hovers around its 50-day moving average of $26.61. With a robust current ratio of 6.08X, the company demonstrates strong liquidity, which could be appealing to investors looking for stability in the volatile biotechnology sector. Additionally, Exelixis boasts a market capitalization of $8.26 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the healthcare industry. Given these factors, it might be worth reevaluating your position in Exelixis to capitalize on potential gains..

Another 3 percent rise for Exelixis

Exelixis has recently experienced a significant boost, with its stock rising by 3%, signaling increased investor confidence. This upward trend is supported by its impressive risk-adjusted performance of 1.24, indicating that Exelixis is not only achieving returns but doing so with well-managed risk compared to the broader market. Investors appear to appreciate this balance, driving the stock higher in anticipation of continued strong performance. As of October 29, Exelixis shows a downside deviation of 1.33, a mean deviation of 1.43, and a coefficient of variation of 729.2. By analyzing historical prices and volume patterns, you can predict the stock's future direction.
Check Exelixis's Treynor ratio and the relationship between standard deviation and downside variance to assess if the current price of $28.50 per share is justified. With a Jensen alpha of 0.3014, it's important to review Exelixis's market performance to ensure its sustainability moving forward.Considering the current landscape for Exelixis, it's clear that the stock presents a mixed bag of opportunities and risks. With an analyst consensus leaning towards a "Buy" and a highest estimated target price of $28.59, there is potential for growth. However, the presence of 6 holds and 2 sells among analysts suggests some caution is warranted. The valuation market value stands at 28.5, which aligns closely with the hype value of 28.4, indicating that the stock might be fairly priced at the moment. Investors should weigh these factors carefully, considering both the potential upside and the inherent risks, before making a decision on whether to stay invested or explore other opportunities..

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Nico Santiago do not own shares of Exelixis. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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