Helen of Troy (HELE) has been showing signs of a potential downtrend, with a Jensen Alpha of
-0.33 indicating a negative expected return relative to the market risk. Coupled with a high short ratio of
12.85, which suggests that investors are anticipating a price decrease, this could present a short opportunity for traders in August.
Main Takeaways
Helen of Troy has a beta of 1.1646, indicating that its returns are likely to rise less than the market during bullish periods, but also fall less during bearish periods. The beta value helps investors gauge if Helen of Troy's movements align with the broader market and assess its volatility or risk relative to the market benchmark. Essentially, if Helen of Troy's deviation from the market is minimal, it adds little risk to the portfolio, but also doesn't significantly boost expected returns.
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as
predicting future values of individual securities such as Helen of Troy. Regardless of method or technology, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the
market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Predictive Modules for Helen Of
How important is Helen Of's Liquidity
Helen Of
financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Helen of Troy ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Helen Of financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Helen Of's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Helen Of's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the
breakdown between Helen Of's total debt and its cash.
Helen Of Gross Profit
Helen Of Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Helen Of previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Helen Of Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Helen Of's
gross profit and other
fundamental indicators for more details.
An Additional Perspective On Helen of Troy
Helen of Troy exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.19 and kurtosis of 5.13. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Helen Of's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Helen Of's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Margin Breakdown
0.088
Operating Profit Margin
0.0759
Pretax Profit Margin
| Pretax Profit Margin | 0.0759 |
| Operating Profit Margin | 0.088 |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.0609 |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.47 |
"As the saying goes, 'the trend is your friend,' but for Helen of Troy (NASDAQ: HELE), the trend seems to be a foe. The company's stock, currently trading at a typical day price of $89.03, is showing signs of a further downtrend in August, making it a potential short opportunity for savvy investors. Despite a 52-week high of $143.68, the stock's negative risk-adjusted performance of -0.09 and a daily balance of power at -0.79 indicate bearish sentiment. Additionally, the company's high kurtosis of 5.13 suggests a higher probability of extreme price movements, further supporting the potential for a continued downtrend. While Helen of Troy's current ratio of 2.12X and net assets of $2.84B demonstrate financial stability, the current market conditions and price action indicators suggest that shorting the stock could be a profitable strategy in the short term.".
Our take on today Helen Of dip
The recent decline in Helen of Troy's stock offers a potentially profitable opportunity for astute investors. The current mean deviation of 1.49 suggests significant price volatility. This, combined with the company's strong fundamentals, implies that the dip may be a temporary market reaction, not a reflection of the company's true value. We advise investors to view this as a potential buying opportunity, anticipating a market correction. Helen of Troy shows minimal volatility with a skewness of -1.19 and kurtosis of 5.13. Understanding market volatility trends can help investors time the market.
Using volatility indicators correctly allows traders to gauge Helen of Troy's stock risk against market volatility in both bullish and bearish trends. The increased volatility of bear markets can directly affect Helen of Troy's stock price, causing investor stress as share values drop, often leading to portfolio rebalancing.Despite the recent dip of over 3 percent in Helen of Troy's stock (USA Stocks:HELE), the overall consensus among analysts remains a 'Buy'. The company's valuation market value stands at
88.06, with a possible upside price of 89.3, indicating potential for growth. The valuation real value is significantly higher at
104.52, suggesting that the stock is currently undervalued. With the fiscal year ending in February, investors should consider the potential upside, especially given the analyst's highest estimated target price of 160.67. However, investors should also be aware of the possible downside price of 85.12. In conclusion, despite the recent dip, Helen of Troy's stock presents a promising investment opportunity based on its current valuation and analyst consensus..
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Raphi Shpitalnik is a Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Raphael is a young entrepreneur who joined Macroaxis on a part-time basis at the beginning of the pandemic and eventually acquired a real taste for investing and fintech. He likes to analyze different equity instruments across a wide range of industries, focusing primarily on consumer products, sports, fintech, cannabis, and AI.
View Profile This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Helen of Troy. Please refer to our
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