Is Mitek Systems (USA Stocks:MITK) a new disruptor?

It feels like Mitek Systems will continue to recover much faster as its share price surged up 0.1% today. This firm current daily volatility is 3.04 percent, with a beta of 1.24 and an alpha of -0.01 over Dow Jones Industrial. While many traders are getting carried away by overanalyzing application software, it is reasonable to examine Mitek Systems. I will address the reasons why this entity does not get much respect from traders under the current market uncertainty.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Gabriel Shpitalnik

Mitek Systems currently holds roughly 71.05 M in cash with 37.34 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.6.
Mitek Systems has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.2415, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Mitek's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Mitek Systems will likely underperform. Although it is important to respect Mitek Systems price patterns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's historical price patterns. The philosophy towards estimating future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Mitek Systems technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0623% will be sustainable into the future. Mitek Systems right now secures a risk of 3.04%. Please verify Mitek Systems potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price to decide if Mitek Systems will be following its current price movements.
Investing in Mitek Systems, just like investing in any other equity instrument, is characterized by a strong risk-return correlation. High risks mean high returns and low risk means lower expected returns. Risk management is the act of identifying and assessing the potential risk and developing strategies to minimize these risks and earn maximum possible profits while holding Mitek Systems along with other instruments in the same portfolio. Using conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis to select individual securities into a portfolio complements risk management and adds value to overall investors' investing strategies.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mitek Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

How important is Mitek Systems's Liquidity

Mitek Systems financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Mitek Systems ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Mitek Systems financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Mitek Systems' owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Mitek Systems' financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Mitek Systems's total debt and its cash.

Mitek Systems Gross Profit

Mitek Systems Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Mitek Systems previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Mitek Systems Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Mitek Systems' gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Mitek Systems Correlation with Peers

Investors in Mitek can reduce exposure to individual asset risk by holding a diversified portfolio of assets in addition to a long position in Mitek Systems. Diversification will allow for the same portfolio return with reduced risk. The correlation table of Mitek Systems and its peers is a two-dimensional matrix that shows the correlation coefficient between pairs of securities Mitek is related in some way. The cells in the table are color-coded to highlight significantly positive and negative relationships. Each cell shows the correlation between one pair of equities and can be used to run pair trading strategies or create efficient portfolios with your current brokerage. Please check volatility of Mitek for more details

Detailed Perspective On Mitek Systems

We consider Mitek Systems not too volatile. Mitek Systems has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0205, which conveys that the firm had 0.0205% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards estimating the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Mitek Systems, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please verify Mitek Systems Mean Deviation of 2.38, risk adjusted performance of 0.0611, and Downside Deviation of 2.7 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0623%.
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Possible January bounce back of Mitek?

Recent value at risk indicator falls down to -4.45. Possible price growth? Mitek Systems currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.0 and Jensen Alpha of -0.01. However, we advise investors to further question Mitek Systems expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mitek Systems' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mitek Systems' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Our Conclusion on Mitek Systems

Although other companies within the software—application industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, Mitek Systems may offer a potential longer-term growth to traders. With a somewhat neutral outlook on your 90 days horizon, it may be better to hold off any trading activity and neither take over new shares of Mitek nor trade your existing holdings in the Stock. It seems the expected volatility has not yet been fully factored into the current price. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Mitek Systems.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Rifka Kats do not own shares of Mitek Systems. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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