Here is our Marten Transport (USA Stocks:MRTN) forecasting for August

Marten Transport (MRTN), a leading player in the trucking industry, has been under the microscope of investors due to its mixed financial performance. The company, which ended its fiscal year in December, has a market valuation of $20.48 billion and a PE ratio of 15.75. Analysts have a consensus hold rating on the stock, with two holds and one strong buy. The estimated EPS for the current quarter is $0.27, and for the current year, it stands at $1.19. Looking ahead, the EPS estimate for the next quarter is $0.32, and for the next year, it's $1.4. The company's shares have been experiencing a short ratio of 2.88, with 1.1 million shares short, a decrease from 1.3 million the prior month. The stock's beta is 0.8788, indicating less volatility compared to the market. The 200-day moving average is $20.719, while the 50-day moving average is $21.1992. The stock has a 52-week low of $16.9518 and a high of $23.1592. The Wall Street target price for MRTN is $25, with the highest estimated target price being $26 and the lowest $25. The naive expected forecast value is $20.57, with a possible upside price of $22.06 and a downside price of $19.08. The company's PEG ratio is 3.2, and it has a payout ratio of 0.1846. Given these factors, investors need to consider whether the management of Marten Transport can deliver value in the long run. Despite the company's solid position in the trucking industry, the mixed financial performance and the analysts' hold consensus may warrant caution. Marten Transport's Accrued Expenses Turnover is currently very stable, showing little variation from the previous year. Last year, Marten Transport reported an Accrued Expenses Turnover of 34.79. As of July 16, 2023, the Cash and Equivalents Turnover is projected to increase to 18.85, while the Revenue Per Employee is anticipated to decrease by approximately $234.7K. In this article, we will evaluate Marten Transport as a potential addition to your existing portfolio. We aim to highlight why it could be a game-changer for insiders at Marten Transport.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Vlad Skutelnik

Marten Transport (MRTN) has demonstrated a steady performance with a slight price percent change of 0.15 and a low price of $20.18. The company's risk-adjusted performance is 0.0037, indicating a low level of risk for investors. However, the company's maximum drawdown of 6.82 and a negative value at risk of 2.72 (reported as a loss) might raise some concerns about the company's risk management. On the brighter side, the potential upside of 2.2 and Wall Street's target price of $25 suggest a positive future outlook. Therefore, despite some risks, Marten Transport's management seems to be a worthwhile consideration for continued investment trust.

Continued study

Over 69.0% of Marten Transport shares are held by institutional investors. Institutional ownership of Marten Transport signifies the percentage of Marten Transport equity owned by entities such as mutual funds, pension funds, insurance companies, investment firms, foundations, and other large organizations that manage funds on behalf of others. Please refer to our latest analysis of Marten, which includes its current ownership diagnostics.
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marten Transport. Regardless of method or technology, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Predictive Modules for Marten Transport

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Marten Transport's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

How important is Marten Transport's Liquidity

Marten Transport financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Marten Transport ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Marten Transport financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Marten Transport's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Marten Transport's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Marten Transport's total debt and its cash.

Marten Transport Gross Profit

Marten Transport Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Marten Transport previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Marten Transport Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Marten Transport's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Detailed Perspective On Marten Transport

Marten Transport exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.69 and kurtosis of 0.96. However, we advise investors to further study Marten Transport technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Marten Transport's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Marten Transport's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Returns Breakdown

Return on Investment15.47
Return on Assets0.11
Return on Equity0.15
Return Capital0.17
Return on Sales0.11
Marten Transport (NASDAQ: MRTN), a key player in the trucking industry, has been on investors' radar for its robust financial performance. With a market capitalization of $1.66B and net income of $110.35M, the company's profitability is evident. Its operating margin stands at a modest 0.1%, and the payout ratio is a conservative 0.1846, indicating a balanced approach to dividend distribution and reinvestment.
The company's financial stability is reflected in its current ratio of 1.80X and a total asset base of $965.68M. Despite a total debt of $409K, Marten Transport's retained earnings of $655.92M demonstrate its ability to generate substantial internal funds. The firm's EPS estimate for the current year is $1.19, suggesting a positive earnings outlook. However, investors should note the company's high PEG ratio of 3.2, which may indicate overvaluation. The short ratio of 2.88X, coupled with a short percent of 0.0309, suggests some investor skepticism. Furthermore, the probability of bankruptcy stands at 49.12%, a risk factor that cannot be overlooked. In conclusion, while Marten Transport's financial performance and stability are commendable, the potential risks warrant careful consideration. Investors should monitor the company's future performance and risk factors closely before making a continued investment decision. .

Marten may start a throwback in August

The recent skewness metric for Marten Transport stands at -0.69, indicating a potential shift in the stock's performance. This negative skewness suggests that the returns are tending towards the left of the mean, hinting at a higher likelihood of negative returns. Given this statistical measure, investors should prepare for a possible downturn in Marten's stock performance in August. This could present a strategic opportunity for those looking to capitalize on potential price dips. Marten Transport displays very low volatility, with a skewness of -0.69 and a kurtosis of 0.96. However, we recommend investors to further investigate Marten Transport's technical indicators to ensure that all market information is available and reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often assists investors in timing the market. Proper use of volatility indicators allows traders to measure Marten Transport's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The increased level of volatility that accompanies bear markets can directly impact Marten Transport's stock price, adding stress to investors as they watch the value of their shares decrease. This typically prompts investors to rebalance their portfolios by purchasing different stocks as prices fall.

Our Bottom Line On Marten Transport

When is the right time to buy or sell Marten Transport? Buying stocks such as Marten Transport isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities, deliver winning trades and diversify portfolios on a daily basis.
To conclude, as of the 16th of July 2023, we believe that at this point, Marten Transport is undervalued with very small probability of financial unrest within the next 2 years. Our up-to-date buy-hold-sell advice on the firm is Buy.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Marten Transport. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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