Rail Vision (RVSN), a prominent player in the industrials sector listed on NASDAQ, is currently generating significant buzz among investors. The company's stock, which has a daily balance of power of 0.4898, indicating a nearly balanced market, is showing strong investment potential. The stock's daily rate of change stands at 1.25, suggesting a positive momentum in its price action. Analysts are bullish on Rail Vision, with a strong buy consensus based on one estimate. The analyst's target price estimated value is $7, which is slightly higher than the valuation real value of $6.62. However, the potential upside price is even more promising at $40.86, indicating a significant growth potential. The company's valuation hype value stands at $9.59, which is higher than its current market value of $9.5. This suggests that the market may be underestimating the company's true worth. The day's typical price is $9.39, slightly below the hype value, further reinforcing the potential for growth. Despite the positive outlook, investors should be aware of the possible downside price of $0.095. However, with a period momentum indicator of 1.92, the stock's upward trend seems more likely. As the fiscal year end approaches in December, Rail Vision's strong investment potential makes it a stock to watch. Generally, our focus lies in analyzing the price patterns of Rail Vision (USA Stocks: RVSN) and their correlations with various microeconomic environments and drivers. We also employ predictive analytics to construct daily price indicators for Rail Vision and compare them against associated drivers. Today, we will review Rail Vision. We aim to analyze the reasons why investors in Rail Vision might still consider maintaining their stakes in the business.
The successful prediction of Rail Vision
stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published
stock prices of traded companies, such as Rail Vision Ltd, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at
the intrinsic value of Rail Vision based on Rail Vision hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used
predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Rail Vision's
market risk, different
technical and
fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then
comparing them to Rail Vision's related companies.
Watch out for price decline
Please consider monitoring Rail Vision on a daily basis if you are holding a position in it. Rail Vision is trading at a penny-stock level, and the possibility of delisting is much higher compared to other stocks. However, just because the stock is trading under one dollar, does not mean it will be marked for deletion.
Most exchanges require public instruments, such as Rail Vision stock to be traded above the $1 level to remain listed. If Rail Vision stock price falls below $1 for 30 consecutive trading days, the exchange can delist it. Once the company reaches this point, they will be sent an initial price violation notice directly from an exchange.
Use Technical Analysis to project Rail expected Price
Rail Vision technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Rail Vision technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Rail Vision trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions.
More Info...Rail Vision Gross Profit
Rail Vision Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Rail Vision previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Rail Vision Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Rail Vision's
gross profit and other
fundamental indicators for more details.
Another Deeper Perspective
The recent price roll up of Rail Vision created some momentum for insiders as it was traded today as low as
7.38 and as high as
11.3 per share. The company directors and management may have good odds in positioning the company resources to exploit
market volatility in
February. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 28.49. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Rail Vision partners.
Cost of Revenue Breakdown
Rail Vision Cost of Revenue yearly trend continues to be very stable with very little volatility. Cost of Revenue is likely to grow to about 781.6
K this year. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. Where this item is not contained on the company consolidated financial statements and cannot otherwise be imputed the value of 0 is used. At this time, Rail Vision's Cost of Revenue is very stable as compared to the past year.
| 2010 | 657,000 |
| 2022 | 661,000 |
| 2023 | 760,150 |
| 2024 | 781,605 |
Every cloud has a silver lining, and Rail Vision (RVSN) seems to be that silver lining in the world of investment. Despite a negative return on equity of 1.4 and a downside deviation of 9.89, the company exhibits strong investment potential with a potential upside of 25.33. The company's current valuation stands at $18.61M, with a market capitalization of $25.04M, indicating a robust financial position. Furthermore, the company's low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09% and a healthy current ratio of 9.17X demonstrate its financial stability. The Z score of 3.9 further reduces the probability of bankruptcy to 13.18%, making it a relatively safe bet for investors. With a target price of $56 and a day typical price of $9.39, the stock offers a significant growth opportunity. The company's strong
financial health, coupled with its promising growth potential, makes Rail Vision a compelling investment choice.
Our perspective of the recent Rail Vision roll up
The recent coefficient of variation for Rail Vision stock is a staggering 758.9, indicating a high level of volatility and risk associated with this investment. This suggests that the stock's returns are highly dispersed around its mean, making it a potentially risky proposition for investors. While some may view this as an opportunity for high returns, the inherent unpredictability could also lead to significant losses. Therefore, we recommend cautious trading with Rail Vision stock, taking into account both its potential for high returns and the associated risk. Rail Vision has demonstrated substantial volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. We urge all investors to further investigate this asset to ensure that their
market timing strategies align with all expectations about Rail Vision's implied risk. Understanding different
market volatility trends can often assist investors in timing the market. Proper use of volatility indicators allows traders to measure Rail Vision's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends.
The heightened level of volatility that accompanies bear markets can directly impact
Rail Vision's stock price, adding stress to investors as they watch the value of their shares plummet. This typically compels investors to rebalance their portfolios by purchasing different stocks as prices fall. In conclusion, Rail Vision (RVSN) appears to be a risky investment at this point. Despite the strong buy recommendation from the single analyst covering the stock, the company's valuation real value stands at
$6.62, significantly lower than the highest estimated target price of
$7. Furthermore, the valuation hype value of 9.59 compared to a market value of 9.5 suggests that the stock may be overhyped. While there is a possible upside price of 40.86, the potential downside price is a mere $0.095, indicating a high level of risk. Therefore, investors should exercise caution when considering this stock. .
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Vlad Skutelnik is a Macroaxis Contributor. Vlad covers stocks, funds, cryptocurrencies, and ETFs that are traded in North America, focusing primarily on fundamentals, valuation and market volatility. He has many years of experience in fintech, predictive investment analytics, and risk management.
View Profile This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of Rail Vision Ltd. Please refer to our
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