Tsakos Energy Navigation (TEN) stock has recently experienced a dip of over 4 percent, presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors. The company's EPS estimate for the next year is an impressive
9.89, and despite a total risk alpha of -0.09, the low beta of 0.1076 suggests a lower volatility compared to the market. The company's shares have a 52-week range of
9.5221 to
24.3568, and the current price of 17.51 is significantly lower than the Wall Street target price of
30. With a PE ratio of just 3.0511, the stock appears undervalued, and the potential upside of 4.34 further strengthens the case for investment in TEN.
Further analysis
The company in question, Tsakos Energy Navigation, has a beta of 1.5113. To understand what this beta signifies for Tsakos, it's essential to break it down. As market returns increase, it is anticipated that Tsakos Energy's returns will also increase, albeit at a lesser rate than the market. Conversely, in a bear market, the losses incurred from holding Tsakos Energy are expected to be less severe. The beta indicator assists investors in understanding whether Tsakos Energy's movements align with the overall market trend, and how its volatility, or risk, compares to the market, or the selected benchmark. In simpler terms, if Tsakos's performance doesn't deviate significantly from the market, it doesn't add substantial risk to the portfolio, but it also doesn't contribute to increasing the expected returns.
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as
predicting future values of individual securities such as TransAtlantic Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the
market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Predictive Modules for TransAtlantic Petroleum
How important is TransAtlantic Petroleum's Liquidity
TransAtlantic Petroleum
financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance TransAtlantic Petroleum ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. TransAtlantic Petroleum financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to TransAtlantic Petroleum's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of TransAtlantic Petroleum's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the
breakdown between TransAtlantic Petroleum's total debt and its cash.
Breaking it down a bit more
Tsakos Energy Navigation currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.0 and Jensen Alpha of -0.03. However, we advise investors to further question Tsakos Energy Navigation expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Tsakos Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Tsakos Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.
Margin Breakdown
| EBITDA Margin | 0.37 |
| Gross Margin | 0.51 |
| Profit Margin | 0.21 |
Tsakos Energy Navigation, a key player in the Oil & Gas Midstream industry, has recently seen a dip in its stock price by over 4 percent, presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors.
The company's current valuation stands at a robust
$1.6B, backed by a strong EBITDA of
$376.54M. Despite the recent downturn, the company's shares have maintained a 52-week high of $24.3568, with an EPS estimate for the current year at $9.39 and a promising estimate for the next year at $9.89. Tsakos' performance is further highlighted by its PE ratio of 3.0511 and a Price to Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.53X, indicating potential for future growth. The company also exhibits a healthy payout ratio of 0.038, with a return on equity of 22.58. The company's financial stability is evident in its total asset worth of $3.31B and a manageable total debt of $1.67B. With a target price set at $30 and a potential upside of 4.34, Tsakos Energy Navigation's stock is well-positioned for a rebound. The recent dip, therefore, presents a unique opportunity for investors to capitalize on this undervalued stock. .
Time to exit Tsakos Energy is now
The recent decrease in Kurtosis to -0.88 for Tsakos Energy Navigation stock suggests a potential forthcoming price depreciation. This statistical measure indicates less frequent extreme price deviations, which could signal a decrease in investor confidence and a subsequent decline in the stock's value. Given this development, it might be wise for investors to contemplate exiting their positions in Tsakos Energy Navigation to minimize potential losses. Currently, Tsakos Energy Navigation demonstrates a below-average downside deviation. It has an Information Ratio of 0.0 and a Jensen Alpha of -0.03. However, we recommend investors to further scrutinize Tsakos Energy Navigation's expected returns to ensure all indicators align with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different
market volatility trends often assists investors in timing the market. Proper utilization of volatility indicators allows traders to measure Tsakos Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends.
The heightened level of volatility that accompanies bear markets can directly impact
Tsakos Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they witness their shares' value decline. This typically compels investors to rebalance their portfolios by purchasing different stocks as prices drop. Despite the recent slump of over 4 percent in Tsakos Energy Navigation stock, the investment outlook remains positive. Analysts continue to hold a strong buy consensus with a target price estimated at
$30, suggesting a significant potential upside from the current market valuation of
$17.51. Furthermore, the company's real value is estimated at $20.6, indicating that the stock is currently undervalued. The expected EPS for the next fiscal year ending in December is $9.89, which could further drive the stock price upwards. While there is a possible downside risk to $15.19, the potential upside to $20.42 or even the analyst's highest estimated target price of $30 makes Tsakos Energy Navigation a compelling investment opportunity. .
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Vlad Skutelnik is a Macroaxis Contributor. Vlad covers stocks, funds, cryptocurrencies, and ETFs that are traded in North America, focusing primarily on fundamentals, valuation and market volatility. He has many years of experience in fintech, predictive investment analytics, and risk management.
View Profile This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of TransAtlantic Petroleum. Please refer to our
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