What are the odds of US Bancorp to slip in February?

US Bancorp, a prominent player in the Banks - Regional industry, has shown a potential downside with a maximum drawdown of 12.5% and a daily balance of power at -0.94. This suggests a possible performance dip in February. The company's open price stands at $42.15, while the day's typical price is slightly lower at $41.37, indicating a potential for loss. However, it's important to note that US Bancorp has a strong workforce of 75,000 full-time employees and a robust quarterly revenue growth of 9.3%, which could help mitigate risks. Investors should closely monitor these factors and consider their risk tolerance before making an investment decision.

Important Takeaways

US Bancorp reported last year's revenue of $27.62 billion. The total income attributable to common stockholders was $5.51 billion, with a profit before taxes, overhead, and interest amounting to $22.14 billion.
Published over six months ago
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Reviewed by Raphi Shpitalnik

US Bancorp, a prominent player in the Financial Services sector, specifically in the Diversified Banks domain, has been showing signs of a potential performance dip in February. As of January 15, 2024, the company's typical day price was $41.37, slightly above its naive expected forecast value of $40.28. However, the daily balance of power stands at -0.94, and the period momentum indicator is at -0.77, both suggesting a bearish outlook. Despite a robust net income from continuing operations of $5.5 billion and net interest income of $17.6 billion, the company's valuation real value stands at $45.85, lower than the analyst's highest estimated target price of $63. The EPS estimate for the next quarter is $1.01, and the PE ratio is 12.58, which may not be attractive enough for some investors. With only two analyst buy recommendations, investors should tread carefully with this common stock listed on the NYSE under the ISIN US9029733048. Currently, US Bancorp's Net Income Per Employee is projected to see a significant increase, based on the reporting trends of the past few years. The Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) for the current year is expected to grow to approximately $9.7 billion. Conversely, the Revenue Per Employee is forecasted to decline to about $310.2 thousand. In today's market, many traders prioritize capital preservation over market returns. However, US Bancorp could be an exception to this trend. We will examine whether it is still feasible for US Bancorp to minimize net losses this year. Additionally, I will highlight some key fundamental factors affecting US Bancorp's services and discuss how these factors could impact the investment outlook for this year.
The performance of US Bancorp in the marketplace will significantly impact your decision to invest in its stock. Revenue growth, profitability, competitive positioning, management quality, and industry trends can influence US Bancorp's stock prices. When investing in US Bancorp, there are several factors to consider and potential outcomes to expect. As a company performs well, its stock price may increase, allowing investors to benefit from price appreciation. However, USB Stock can experience significant price fluctuations due to market conditions, economic factors, industry trends, or company-specific news. This is why investing in stocks such as US Bancorp carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Stock prices can decline, and investors may incur losses if they sell shares at a lower price than their initial investment.

And What about dividends?

A dividend is the distribution of a portion of US Bancorp earnings, decided and managed by the company's board of directors and paid to a class of its shareholders. Note, announcements of dividend payouts are generally accompanied by a proportional increase or decrease in a company's stock price. US Bancorp dividend payments follow a chronological order of events, and the associated dates are important to determine the shareholders who qualify for receiving the dividend payment. USB one year expected dividend income is about USD1.3 per share.
At present, US Bancorp's Dividends Paid is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Dividend Yield is expected to grow to 0.05, whereas Dividend Payout Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.48.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid3.3 B3.5 B
Dividend Yield 0.05  0.05 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.61  0.48 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 2.55  1.75 
Investing in dividend-paying stocks, such as US Bancorp is one of the few strategies that are good for long-term investment. Ex-dividend dates are significant because investors in US Bancorp must own a stock before its ex-dividend date to receive its next dividend.
This type of analysis is very useful when you want to generate a past dividend schedule and payout information for US Bancorp. Then that information in the form of graph and calendar can be used to fully explain how Du Pont dividends can provide a real clue to its valuation.

How important is US Bancorp's Liquidity

US Bancorp financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance US Bancorp ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. US Bancorp financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to US Bancorp's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of US Bancorp's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between US Bancorp's total debt and its cash.

What do experts say about USB?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions.
Analysis Consensus

Another Deeper Perspective

US Bancorp secures a total of one billion five hundred fifty-seven million ten thousand fourty-eight outstanding shares. The majority of US Bancorp outstanding shares are owned by institutions. These other corporate entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in US Bancorp to benefit from reduced commissions. Therefore, outside corporations are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in US Bancorp. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of US Bancorp as this could imply that something significant has changed or about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how much assets the company retains, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Ownership Breakdown

Retail Investors
20.87%
Institutions
79.03%
Retail Investors20.87
Insiders0.1
Institutions79.03
As Warren Buffet wisely said, be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.
This sentiment may be applicable to US Bancorp (NYSE: USB), a leading player in the Banks - Regional industry, as it faces a potential performance dip in February. Despite a respectable five-year return of 3.16% and a healthy operating margin of 0.37%, the company's quarterly earnings growth has declined by 21%, indicating potential headwinds. The firm's PE ratio stands at 12.58, which is relatively low, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued. However, investors should be cautious as the probability of bankruptcy is 45.92%. The company's current valuation is $77.91B, with a market capitalization of $65.63B. While the Wall Street target price is $48.1, the day typical price is $41.37, indicating potential upside. However, given the current market conditions and the company's recent performance, investors should tread carefully. .

Analysis of US Bancorp

US Bancorp's stock offers a potential upside of 6.34, suggesting a modest growth expectation in the near term. This limited upside, while hinting at a possible decrease in volatility, also highlights a relatively stable investment environment. Therefore, investors can expect modest gains with reduced risk. While this may not be attractive to aggressive growth investors, it could be a compelling proposition for conservative investors seeking stability amidst market uncertainties. As of January 16, 2024, US Bancorp has a Downside Deviation of 1.71, a mean deviation of 1.62, and a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1188. Regarding fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to examine potential technical drivers of US Bancorp, as well as their interrelationships. In essence, you can use this information to determine if the company will mirror its model of historical prices and volume patterns, or if the prices will eventually revert. We can interpolate and gather nineteen technical drivers for US Bancorp, which can be compared to its sector peers. Please verify US Bancorp's coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and semi variance to determine if US Bancorp is priced correctly, assuming the market reflects its current price of 41.38 per share.
Given that US Bancorp has a Jensen Alpha of 0.0451, we recommend you to review US Bancorp's recent market performance to ensure the company can sustain itself in the future. In conclusion, the recent price rise of US Bancorp (USB) stock may seem perplexing, but a closer look at the data provides some clarity. The analyst overall consensus is a 'Hold' with 19 estimates, including 2 buys, 11 holds, and 9 strong buys. The analyst target price estimated value stands at $46.996, with a possible upside price of $42.53 and a possible downside price of $38.03. The valuation real value is $45.85, slightly below the highest estimated target price of $63. The EPS estimate for the next fiscal year, ending in December, is $4. While the valuation hype value and market value are both at $41.38, the naive expected forecast value is $40.28. These figures suggest that while the stock's price rise may seem difficult to understand, it is supported by a strong analyst consensus and a robust valuation real value. .

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