Is Exicure (USA Stocks:XCUR) gaining more confidence from retail investors?

In the world of investing, hype can often overshadow reality. Exicure (XCUR) has recently captured the attention of retail investors, buoyed by a strong buy consensus from analysts and a median price of $4.04, suggesting potential upside. However, the company, which has no significant operations and focuses on nucleic acid therapies, is still navigating a challenging landscape. With a valuation market value of $4.23 and a naive expected forecast value of $4.17, the stock's allure may be more about speculation than solid fundamentals. Despite the excitement, the possible downside price of $0.0423 raises questions about sustainability. As investors weigh the potential for gains against the backdrop of a company with a history of losses, the question remains: is this a fleeting moment of enthusiasm or a genuine opportunity? Investing in stocks often requires careful planning, but sometimes, taking bold steps is just as crucial. Let's look at Exicure and what shareholders can expect this October. Currently, Exicure's stock is priced at $4.23. Historically, the stock has shown a strong reaction to market hype, with a hype elasticity of -1.57. However, competition has a minimal impact, with an average elasticity of just 0.01. Following the next press release, analysts predict a significant drop in value, potentially falling to $2.43—a decrease of about 38.17%. Daily returns are currently around 2.8%. With an important announcement expected in about 10 days, investors should be prepared for potential volatility in the coming weeks.
Published over two months ago
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Reviewed by Gabriel Shpitalnik

Exicure (XCUR) is capturing the attention of retail investors with a potential upside of 40.76%, as the stock trades at a last price of 4.23, showing a solid daily volume of 1.2M. With a Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 3.18, the excitement around this biotechnology company suggests that investors are optimistic about its future prospects.

Key Discoveries

Exicure's asset utilization reveals a concerning picture. The company is losing $0.002641 for every dollar of assets it holds, resulting in a negative utilization rate of -0.26 percent. This indicates that Exicure is not making the most of its resources, operating inefficiently with each dollar spent. In simpler terms, the company's performance raises red flags about its ability to generate profit from its assets. Investors should take note of this lackluster efficiency when considering Exicure's potential for growth.
The successful prediction of Exicure stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Exicure, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Exicure based on Exicure hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Exicure's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Exicure's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Exicure expected Price

Exicure technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Exicure technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Exicure trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Exicure Gross Profit

Exicure Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Exicure previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Exicure Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Exicure's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Detailed Outlook On Exicure

The latest price spike of Exicure may raise some interest from retail investors as it is trading at a share price of 4.23 on 1,163,156 in trading volume. The company directors and management may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in October. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 17.95. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Exicure partners.

Current Deferred Revenue Breakdown

Exicure Current Deferred Revenue yearly trend continues to be relatively stable with very little volatility. Current Deferred Revenue is likely to drop to about 12.5 M. Current Deferred Revenue usually refers to revenue that has been collected but not yet earned, typically from prepaid service contracts or subscriptions. This amount is considered a liability until the service is provided or the subscription period ends. At this time, Exicure's Current Deferred Revenue is relatively stable compared to the past year.
2010
2017
2018
2020
2021
2023
2024
20108.28 Million
20171.03 Million
201821.87 Million
20208.34 Million
202117.32 Million
202319.91 Million
202412.51 Million
In the world of investing, perception can often be as powerful as reality. Exicure, Inc., a biotechnology firm based in Chicago, has recently caught the attention of retail investors, despite its lack of significant operations and a staggering probability of bankruptcy at 96.00%. The company's market capitalization stands at just $7.32 million, with a current valuation of $13.59 million, suggesting that investors are betting on potential rather than proven success. With insiders owning 58.73% of shares, confidence from those closest to the company may be a driving factor in retail interest. However, the company's financials reveal losses, including a return on assets of -0.26 and a return on equity of -1.44, raising questions about the sustainability of this hype.

Are Exicure technical ratios showing a throwback?

Exicure's stock is experiencing a significant change, with its expected shortfall dropping to -15.84 today. This decline suggests the stock may be entering a recovery phase after a period of volatility. Investors should pay attention to these technical indicators, as they could signal a chance to buy in before a potential price rebound. Currently, Exicure is facing considerable fluctuations in returns, which can help savvy investors time their moves. By understanding market volatility, traders can better assess the risks associated with Exicure's stock during both rising and falling markets.
Increased volatility, especially in bear markets, can pressure Exicure's stock price and lead investors to adjust their portfolios as they navigate price declines.Investing in Exicure stock could be an intriguing opportunity as we head into October. With an analyst consensus rating of "Strong Buy" and a potential upside price of 22.12, there’s a lot of excitement surrounding this company, especially given its focus on innovative nucleic acid therapies. The current market value sits around 4.23, which suggests that there could be significant room for growth. While the company does not have significant operations at the moment, the potential for breakthroughs in their field could lead to substantial returns for investors willing to take a chance. As always, it’s essential to weigh the risks and rewards carefully before diving in..

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Editorial Staff

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