Will Yatra Online continue to grow in December?

All that glitters is not gold, but Yatra Online might just be the exception. As a player in the travel services industry, this NASDAQ-listed company has been catching the eye of investors with its potential for growth. Despite a recent loss, the stock's valuation hype value stands at 1.4, suggesting that market sentiment is optimistic. Analysts seem to agree, with an overall consensus rating of 'Buy' and a highest estimated target price of $4.44, indicating a significant upside from its current levels. With the fiscal year ending in March, investors are keenly watching to see if Yatra Online can capitalize on the travel sector's recovery and deliver on its growth promises. We closely examine Yatra Online (NASDAQ: YTRA) by studying its price trends and how they relate to various microeconomic factors. Using predictive analytics, we develop daily price indicators for Yatra and assess them alongside relevant influences. In today's discussion, we'll explore why we remain optimistic about Yatra Online's potential for recovery.
Published over two weeks ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

Yatra Online currently has a "Buy" rating from one analyst. We offer our own recommendation to enhance this existing expert opinion. Our approach employs a sophisticated algorithm that evaluates the company's growth potential by analyzing a wide range of technical and fundamental data.

Important Points

As December approaches, investors are buzzing about Yatra Online, a player in the travel services industry, and its potential for growth. Despite a slight loss in Total Risk Alpha at 0.47, the company's trading volume today hit a robust 58.9K, suggesting heightened interest and activity. With an EPS estimate of 0.14 for the next year, traders are keenly watching if Yatra Online can translate this momentum into sustainable growth, making it a stock to watch closely as the year winds down.
The successful prediction of Yatra Online stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Yatra Online, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Yatra Online based on Yatra Online hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Yatra Online's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Yatra Online's related companies.

Watch out for price decline

Please consider monitoring Yatra Online on a daily basis if you are holding a position in it. Yatra Online is trading at a penny-stock level, and the possibility of delisting is much higher compared to other stocks. However, just because the stock is trading under one dollar, does not mean it will be marked for deletion. Most exchanges require public instruments, such as Yatra Online stock to be traded above the $1 level to remain listed. If Yatra Online stock price falls below $1 for 30 consecutive trading days, the exchange can delist it. Once the company reaches this point, they will be sent an initial price violation notice directly from an exchange.

Use Technical Analysis to project Yatra expected Price

Yatra Online technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Yatra Online technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Yatra Online trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Yatra Online Gross Profit

Yatra Online Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Yatra Online previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Yatra Online Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Yatra Online's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

A Deeper Perspective

The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 4.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (329.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 776.4 M.

Current Deferred Revenue Breakdown

Yatra Online's Current Deferred Revenue is decreasing over the years with stable fluctuation. Current Deferred Revenue is expected to dwindle to about 476 M. Current Deferred Revenue usually refers to revenue that has been collected but not yet earned, typically from prepaid service contracts or subscriptions. This amount is considered a liability until the service is provided or the subscription period ends. At present, Yatra Online's Current Deferred Revenue is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting.
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
20171.77 Billion
2018579.32 Million
2019900.52 Million
2020120.13 Million
2021183.21 Million
202245.72 Million
2023625.54 Million
2024475.96 Million
"Buy the rumor, sell the news" is a saying that often rings true in the stock market, and it might just apply to Yatra Online as we look towards December. With a market capitalization of $83.87 million and a price-to-sales ratio of just 0.02, the company appears undervalued, suggesting potential for growth. However, investors should be cautious given the high probability of bankruptcy at 96%, which could overshadow the optimism. The stock's beta of 1.25 indicates higher volatility compared to the market, which might appeal to risk-tolerant investors looking for a potential upside of 4.97. As Yatra Online navigates the travel services industry, its financial health and strategic moves will be crucial in determining whether it can sustain any momentum gained from recent hype.

Our take on Yatra Online small slip

Yatra Online's stock has seen a minor decline, but a drop in its standard deviation to 2.71 suggests its price movements are becoming more stable. This could be encouraging for investors looking for less erratic performance. While recent market changes have influenced the stock, the reduced volatility might imply lower risk and increased confidence in its future. Investors may want to reevaluate their strategies, considering Yatra's market position and growth potential. Despite this, Yatra Online still exhibits above-average downside volatility, which can be crucial for timing market entries and exits. In bearish markets, heightened volatility can affect Yatra's stock price, prompting investors to adjust their portfolios by diversifying as prices decrease.

Our Conclusion on Yatra Online

Whereas some other entities under the travel services industry are still a bit expensive, Yatra Online may offer a potential longer-term growth to investors. The inconsistency in the assessment between current Yatra valuation and our trade advice on Yatra Online is due to the recent market swings and your selection of investing horizon. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Yatra Online.

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Editorial Staff

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