China Steel (Taiwan) Market Value

2013 Stock  TWD 50.40  0.70  1.41%   
China Steel's market value is the price at which a share of China Steel trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of China Steel Structure investors about its performance. China Steel is selling for under 50.40 as of the 24th of December 2024; that is 1.41 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 50.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of China Steel Structure and determine expected loss or profit from investing in China Steel over a given investment horizon. Check out China Steel Correlation, China Steel Volatility and China Steel Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on China Steel.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between China Steel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if China Steel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China Steel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

China Steel 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to China Steel's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of China Steel.
0.00
11/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in China Steel on November 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding China Steel Structure or generate 0.0% return on investment in China Steel over 30 days. China Steel is related to or competes with Yang Ming, Evergreen Marine, Eva Airways, and U Ming. China Steel Structure Co., Ltd. produces and sells steel structures in Taiwan and internationally More

China Steel Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure China Steel's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess China Steel Structure upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

China Steel Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for China Steel's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as China Steel's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use China Steel historical prices to predict the future China Steel's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.5750.4051.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.3651.4052.23
Details

China Steel Structure Backtested Returns

China Steel Structure secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.1, which signifies that the company had a -0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. China Steel Structure exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm China Steel's Mean Deviation of 0.6354, risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Standard Deviation of 0.8213 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.026, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, China Steel's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding China Steel is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, China Steel Structure has a negative expected return of -0.0854%. Please make sure to confirm China Steel's mean deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if China Steel Structure performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.67  

Good predictability

China Steel Structure has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between China Steel time series from 24th of November 2024 to 9th of December 2024 and 9th of December 2024 to 24th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of China Steel Structure price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current China Steel price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.67
Spearman Rank Test0.51
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.78

China Steel Structure lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is China Steel stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting China Steel's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of China Steel returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that China Steel has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

China Steel regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If China Steel stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if China Steel stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in China Steel stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

China Steel Lagged Returns

When evaluating China Steel's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of China Steel stock have on its future price. China Steel autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, China Steel autocorrelation shows the relationship between China Steel stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in China Steel Structure.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for China Stock Analysis

When running China Steel's price analysis, check to measure China Steel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Steel is operating at the current time. Most of China Steel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Steel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Steel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Steel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.