Jean (Taiwan) Market Value

2442 Stock  TWD 24.05  0.75  3.02%   
Jean's market value is the price at which a share of Jean trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Jean Co investors about its performance. Jean is selling for under 24.05 as of the 21st of December 2024; that is 3.02 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 24.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Jean Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Jean over a given investment horizon. Check out Jean Correlation, Jean Volatility and Jean Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Jean.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Jean's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jean is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jean's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Jean 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Jean's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Jean.
0.00
11/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/21/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Jean on November 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Jean Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Jean over 30 days. Jean is related to or competes with Merida Industry, Cheng Shin, Uni President, and Pou Chen. ,Ltd engages in the design, manufacture, and marketing of computer and TV display products in Taiwan More

Jean Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Jean's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Jean Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Jean Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Jean's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Jean's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Jean historical prices to predict the future Jean's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.1024.0526.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.0723.0224.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.1824.1326.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.7625.5127.26
Details

Jean Backtested Returns

Jean holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.08, which attests that the entity had a -0.08% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Jean exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Jean's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.62, standard deviation of 2.55, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.29, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Jean are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Jean is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Jean has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to check out Jean's market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Jean performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.23  

Weak predictability

Jean Co has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Jean time series from 21st of November 2024 to 6th of December 2024 and 6th of December 2024 to 21st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Jean price movement. The serial correlation of 0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current Jean price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.23
Spearman Rank Test0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.56

Jean lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Jean stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Jean's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Jean returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Jean has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Jean regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Jean stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Jean stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Jean stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Jean Lagged Returns

When evaluating Jean's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Jean stock have on its future price. Jean autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Jean autocorrelation shows the relationship between Jean stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Jean Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Jean Stock Analysis

When running Jean's price analysis, check to measure Jean's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jean is operating at the current time. Most of Jean's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jean's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jean's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jean to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.