Allianz Se Stock Market Value

ALIZF Stock  USD 316.20  4.04  1.29%   
Allianz SE's market value is the price at which a share of Allianz SE trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Allianz SE investors about its performance. Allianz SE is trading at 316.20 as of the 18th of December 2024. This is a 1.29 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 309.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Allianz SE and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Allianz SE over a given investment horizon. Check out Allianz SE Correlation, Allianz SE Volatility and Allianz SE Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Allianz SE.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Allianz SE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Allianz SE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Allianz SE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Allianz SE 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Allianz SE's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Allianz SE.
0.00
11/18/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/18/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Allianz SE on November 18, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Allianz SE or generate 0.0% return on investment in Allianz SE over 30 days. Allianz SE is related to or competes with Assicurazioni Generali, AXA SA, Athene Holding, Athene Holding, Arch Capital, Assicurazioni Generali, and Ageas SANV. Allianz SE, together with its subsidiaries, provides property-casualty insurance, lifehealth insurance, and asset manage... More

Allianz SE Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Allianz SE's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Allianz SE upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Allianz SE Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Allianz SE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Allianz SE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Allianz SE historical prices to predict the future Allianz SE's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
314.35316.20318.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
313.27315.12316.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
306.65308.50310.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
295.66312.81329.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Allianz SE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Allianz SE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Allianz SE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Allianz SE.

Allianz SE Backtested Returns

Allianz SE secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0138, which signifies that the company had a -0.0138% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Allianz SE exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Allianz SE's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0104, downside deviation of 2.23, and Mean Deviation of 1.27 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.47, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Allianz SE's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Allianz SE is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Allianz SE has a negative expected return of -0.0255%. Please make sure to confirm Allianz SE's downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if Allianz SE performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.01  

Very weak reverse predictability

Allianz SE has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Allianz SE time series from 18th of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024 and 3rd of December 2024 to 18th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Allianz SE price movement. The serial correlation of -0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Allianz SE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.01
Spearman Rank Test-0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance28.91

Allianz SE lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Allianz SE pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Allianz SE's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Allianz SE returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Allianz SE has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Allianz SE regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Allianz SE pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Allianz SE pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Allianz SE pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Allianz SE Lagged Returns

When evaluating Allianz SE's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Allianz SE pink sheet have on its future price. Allianz SE autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Allianz SE autocorrelation shows the relationship between Allianz SE pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Allianz SE.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Allianz Pink Sheet

Allianz SE financial ratios help investors to determine whether Allianz Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Allianz with respect to the benefits of owning Allianz SE security.