Compagnie Financire (South Africa) Market Value

CFR Stock   254,695  5,698  2.29%   
Compagnie Financire's market value is the price at which a share of Compagnie Financire trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Compagnie Financire Richemont investors about its performance. Compagnie Financire is trading at 254695.00 as of the 3rd of December 2024, a 2.29% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 249197.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Compagnie Financire Richemont and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Compagnie Financire over a given investment horizon. Check out Compagnie Financire Correlation, Compagnie Financire Volatility and Compagnie Financire Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Compagnie Financire.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Compagnie Financire's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Compagnie Financire is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Compagnie Financire's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Compagnie Financire 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Compagnie Financire's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Compagnie Financire.
0.00
12/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Compagnie Financire on December 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Compagnie Financire Richemont or generate 0.0% return on investment in Compagnie Financire over 360 days. Compagnie Financire is related to or competes with Lesaka Technologies, Standard Bank, Bytes Technology, African Media, Trematon Capital, Ascendis Health, and British Amer. More

Compagnie Financire Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Compagnie Financire's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Compagnie Financire Richemont upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Compagnie Financire Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Compagnie Financire's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Compagnie Financire's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Compagnie Financire historical prices to predict the future Compagnie Financire's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
254,693254,695254,697
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
254,028254,030280,164
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
254,641254,643254,645
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
243,131250,019256,906
Details

Compagnie Financire Backtested Returns

At this point, Compagnie Financire is very steady. Compagnie Financire secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0057, which signifies that the company had a 0.0057% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for Compagnie Financire Richemont, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Compagnie Financire's Mean Deviation of 1.35, risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Standard Deviation of 1.97 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0105%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.34, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Compagnie Financire's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Compagnie Financire is expected to be smaller as well. Compagnie Financire right now shows a risk of 1.82%. Please confirm Compagnie Financire potential upside, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and kurtosis , to decide if Compagnie Financire will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.5  

Modest reverse predictability

Compagnie Financire Richemont has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Compagnie Financire time series from 9th of December 2023 to 6th of June 2024 and 6th of June 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Compagnie Financire price movement. The serial correlation of -0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Compagnie Financire price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.5
Spearman Rank Test-0.29
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance241.9 M

Compagnie Financire lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Compagnie Financire stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Compagnie Financire's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Compagnie Financire returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Compagnie Financire has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Compagnie Financire regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Compagnie Financire stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Compagnie Financire stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Compagnie Financire stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Compagnie Financire Lagged Returns

When evaluating Compagnie Financire's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Compagnie Financire stock have on its future price. Compagnie Financire autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Compagnie Financire autocorrelation shows the relationship between Compagnie Financire stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Compagnie Financire Richemont.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Compagnie Stock

Compagnie Financire financial ratios help investors to determine whether Compagnie Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Compagnie with respect to the benefits of owning Compagnie Financire security.