Elray Resources Stock Market Value

ELRA Stock  USD 0.0004  0.0001  20.00%   
Elray Resources' market value is the price at which a share of Elray Resources trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Elray Resources investors about its performance. Elray Resources is trading at 4.0E-4 as of the 18th of December 2024, a 20 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 5.0E-4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Elray Resources and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Elray Resources over a given investment horizon. Check out Elray Resources Correlation, Elray Resources Volatility and Elray Resources Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Elray Resources.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Elray Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Elray Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Elray Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Elray Resources 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Elray Resources' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Elray Resources.
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11/18/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/18/2024
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If you would invest  0.00  in Elray Resources on November 18, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Elray Resources or generate 0.0% return on investment in Elray Resources over 30 days. Elray Resources, Inc., a technology company, owns and licenses gaming intellectual property, gaming content, gaming doma... More

Elray Resources Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Elray Resources' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Elray Resources upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Elray Resources Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Elray Resources' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Elray Resources' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Elray Resources historical prices to predict the future Elray Resources' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000418.30
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000418.30
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Elray Resources Backtested Returns

Elray Resources is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Elray Resources secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0775, which denotes the company had a 0.0775% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate data for twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.42% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Elray Resources Coefficient Of Variation of 1310.64, downside deviation of 20.55, and Mean Deviation of 10.6 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Elray Resources holds a performance score of 6 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -7.28, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Elray Resources are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Elray Resources is expected to outperform it. Use Elray Resources semi variance, day median price, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to analyze future returns on Elray Resources.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.24  

Weak reverse predictability

Elray Resources has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Elray Resources time series from 18th of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024 and 3rd of December 2024 to 18th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Elray Resources price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Elray Resources price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.24
Spearman Rank Test-0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Elray Resources lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Elray Resources pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Elray Resources' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Elray Resources returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Elray Resources has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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Elray Resources regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Elray Resources pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Elray Resources pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Elray Resources pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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Elray Resources Lagged Returns

When evaluating Elray Resources' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Elray Resources pink sheet have on its future price. Elray Resources autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Elray Resources autocorrelation shows the relationship between Elray Resources pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Elray Resources.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Elray Pink Sheet

Elray Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Elray Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Elray with respect to the benefits of owning Elray Resources security.