Elray Resources Stock Volatility
| ELRA Stock | USD 0.0004 0.0001 20.00% |
Elray Resources is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Elray Resources secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0775, which denotes the company had a 0.0775% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate data for twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.42% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Elray Resources Coefficient Of Variation of 1310.64, downside deviation of 20.55, and Mean Deviation of 10.6 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Key indicators related to Elray Resources' volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Elray Resources Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Elray daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Elray's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Elray Resources volatility.
Elray |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Elray Resources can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Elray Resources at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Elray Resources' stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving against Elray Pink Sheet
Elray Resources Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Elray Resources' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Elray pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Elray pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Elray Resources's beta of -7.28 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Elray Resources pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Elray Resources is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Elray Resources appears to be a penny stock. Although Elray Resources may be, in fact, a solid short-term or long term investment, many penny pink sheets are speculative investment instruments that are often subject to artificial stock promotion and campaigns of hype which may lead to misinformation and misrepresentation. Please make sure you fully understand upside potential and downside risks of investing in Elray Resources or similar risky assets. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswing without any event/news,and sudden news releases. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company President, CEO or other officers before investing in high-volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Elray instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Elray Resources Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Elray Resources correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Elray Beta |
Elray standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 18.3 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Elray Resources's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Elray Resources' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in elray pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Elray Resources.
Elray Resources Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Elray Resources pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Elray Resources' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Elray Resources' pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Elray Resources' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of pink sheet volatility measures Elray Resources' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Elray Resources' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Elray Resources' current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Elray Resources' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Elray Resources Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Elray Resources Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Elray Resources has a beta of -7.2809 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Elray Resources are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Elray Resources is expected to outperform its benchmark.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Elray Resources or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Elray Resources' price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Elray pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Elray Resources has an alpha of 1.7846, implying that it can generate a 1.78 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an Elray Resources Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Elray Resources Pink Sheet Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Elray Resources is 1290.82. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 334.75 and standard deviation of 18.3. The mean deviation of Elray Resources is currently at 10.92. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.72
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.78 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -7.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 18.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Elray Resources Pink Sheet Return Volatility
Elray Resources historical daily return volatility represents how much of Elray Resources pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 18.2962% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7252% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Elray Resources Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Elray Resources or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Elray Resources may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Elray's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Elray Resources and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Elray Resources fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Elray Resources, Inc., a technology company, owns and licenses gaming intellectual property, gaming content, gaming domains, and trademarks in the United States and internationally. It provides marketing tools and CRM systems for online gaming operators. Elray Resources operates under Gambling classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.
Elray Resources' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Elray Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Elray Resources' price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Elray Resources' volatility to invest better
Higher Elray Resources' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Elray Resources stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Elray Resources stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Elray Resources investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Elray Resources' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Elray Resources' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Elray Resources Investment Opportunity
Elray Resources has a volatility of 18.3 and is 25.07 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 96 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Elray Resources. You can use Elray Resources to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences a very speculative downward sentiment. The market maybe over-reacting. Check odds of Elray Resources to be traded at $4.0E-4 in 90 days.Very good diversification
The correlation between Elray Resources and DJI is -0.29 (i.e., Very good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Elray Resources and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Elray Resources Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Elray Resources' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Elray Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Elray Resources pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0649 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.18) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 10.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 10.01 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 20.55 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1310.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 18.01 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Elray Resources Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Elray Resources as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Elray Resources' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Elray Resources' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Elray Resources.
Complementary Tools for Elray Pink Sheet analysis
When running Elray Resources' price analysis, check to measure Elray Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Elray Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Elray Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Elray Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Elray Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Elray Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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