Enel SpA (Germany) Market Value
| ENL Stock | EUR 6.98 0.07 0.99% |
| Symbol | Enel |
Enel SpA 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Enel SpA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Enel SpA.
| 12/25/2023 |
| 12/19/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Enel SpA on December 25, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Enel SpA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Enel SpA over 360 days. Enel SpA is related to or competes with COMINTL BANK, TFS FINANCIAL, SOUTHWEST AIRLINES, Singapore Airlines, Lendlease, QBE Insurance, and Regions Financial. Enel SpA operates as an integrated electricity and gas operator worldwide More
Enel SpA Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Enel SpA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Enel SpA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.3 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.97) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.53 |
Enel SpA Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Enel SpA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Enel SpA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Enel SpA historical prices to predict the future Enel SpA's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.65) |
Enel SpA Backtested Returns
At this point, Enel SpA is not too volatile. Enel SpA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0094, which denotes the company had a 0.0094% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for Enel SpA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Enel SpA's Mean Deviation of 0.8543, standard deviation of 1.06, and Variance of 1.13 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0096%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0789, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Enel SpA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Enel SpA is expected to be smaller as well. Enel SpA right now shows a risk of 1.03%. Please confirm Enel SpA standard deviation, maximum drawdown, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and potential upside , to decide if Enel SpA will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.18 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Enel SpA has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Enel SpA time series from 25th of December 2023 to 22nd of June 2024 and 22nd of June 2024 to 19th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Enel SpA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current Enel SpA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.18 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.08 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.08 |
Enel SpA lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Enel SpA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Enel SpA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Enel SpA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Enel SpA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Enel SpA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Enel SpA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Enel SpA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Enel SpA stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Enel SpA Lagged Returns
When evaluating Enel SpA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Enel SpA stock have on its future price. Enel SpA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Enel SpA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Enel SpA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Enel SpA.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Enel Stock
Enel SpA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Enel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Enel with respect to the benefits of owning Enel SpA security.