Lisi SA (France) Market Value

FII Stock  EUR 21.60  0.10  0.46%   
Lisi SA's market value is the price at which a share of Lisi SA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Lisi SA investors about its performance. Lisi SA is trading at 21.60 as of the 25th of December 2024, a 0.46% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 21.7.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Lisi SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Lisi SA over a given investment horizon. Check out Lisi SA Correlation, Lisi SA Volatility and Lisi SA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lisi SA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Lisi SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lisi SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lisi SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Lisi SA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lisi SA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lisi SA.
0.00
01/05/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Lisi SA on January 5, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lisi SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lisi SA over 720 days. Lisi SA is related to or competes with Interparfums, Manitou BF, Lectra SA, Ipsos SA, and Guerbet S. LISI S.A. engages in the production and sale of fasteners and assembly components in France and internationally More

Lisi SA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lisi SA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lisi SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Lisi SA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lisi SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lisi SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lisi SA historical prices to predict the future Lisi SA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.2521.6022.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.7918.1423.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.7221.0622.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.7921.6826.58
Details

Lisi SA Backtested Returns

Lisi SA has Sharpe Ratio of -0.26, which conveys that the firm had a -0.26% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Lisi SA exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Lisi SA's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.17), mean deviation of 1.06, and Standard Deviation of 1.38 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0498, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Lisi SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Lisi SA is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Lisi SA has a negative expected return of -0.35%. Please make sure to verify Lisi SA's accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if Lisi SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.21  

Weak predictability

Lisi SA has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lisi SA time series from 5th of January 2023 to 31st of December 2023 and 31st of December 2023 to 25th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lisi SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.21 indicates that over 21.0% of current Lisi SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.21
Spearman Rank Test-0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.31

Lisi SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Lisi SA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Lisi SA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Lisi SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Lisi SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Lisi SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Lisi SA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Lisi SA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Lisi SA stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Lisi SA Lagged Returns

When evaluating Lisi SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Lisi SA stock have on its future price. Lisi SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Lisi SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Lisi SA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Lisi SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

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Other Information on Investing in Lisi Stock

Lisi SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lisi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lisi with respect to the benefits of owning Lisi SA security.