CSHG Real (Brazil) Market Value

HGRE11 Fund  BRL 102.30  0.28  0.27%   
CSHG Real's market value is the price at which a share of CSHG Real trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CSHG Real Estate investors about its performance. CSHG Real is trading at 102.30 as of the 3rd of December 2024, a 0.27 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 102.58.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CSHG Real Estate and determine expected loss or profit from investing in CSHG Real over a given investment horizon. Check out CSHG Real Correlation, CSHG Real Volatility and CSHG Real Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on CSHG Real.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between CSHG Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CSHG Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CSHG Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CSHG Real 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CSHG Real's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CSHG Real.
0.00
11/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in CSHG Real on November 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CSHG Real Estate or generate 0.0% return on investment in CSHG Real over 30 days. CSHG Real is related to or competes with Energisa, BTG Pactual, Plano Plano, Companhia Habitasul, Procter Gamble, Telefonaktiebolaget, and Cable One. CSHG Real Estate - Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario - FII specializes in real estate investments More

CSHG Real Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CSHG Real's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CSHG Real Estate upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

CSHG Real Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CSHG Real's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CSHG Real's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CSHG Real historical prices to predict the future CSHG Real's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
101.41102.30103.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
100.50101.39112.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
103.56104.45105.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
102.29103.36104.43
Details

CSHG Real Estate Backtested Returns

CSHG Real Estate secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.16, which signifies that the fund had a -0.16% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. CSHG Real Estate exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm CSHG Real's Coefficient Of Variation of (633.19), risk adjusted performance of (0.12), and Mean Deviation of 0.6337 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0882, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning CSHG Real are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, CSHG Real is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.25  

Poor predictability

CSHG Real Estate has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CSHG Real time series from 3rd of November 2024 to 18th of November 2024 and 18th of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CSHG Real Estate price movement. The serial correlation of 0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current CSHG Real price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.25
Spearman Rank Test-0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.5

CSHG Real Estate lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is CSHG Real fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CSHG Real's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CSHG Real returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CSHG Real has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

CSHG Real regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CSHG Real fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CSHG Real fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CSHG Real fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

CSHG Real Lagged Returns

When evaluating CSHG Real's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CSHG Real fund have on its future price. CSHG Real autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CSHG Real autocorrelation shows the relationship between CSHG Real fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CSHG Real Estate.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in CSHG Fund

CSHG Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether CSHG Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CSHG with respect to the benefits of owning CSHG Real security.
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