Metavia Stock Market Value
| MTVA Stock | 1.60 0.16 9.09% |
| Symbol | MetaVia |
Is Pharmaceutical Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MetaVia. If investors know MetaVia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MetaVia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of MetaVia is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MetaVia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MetaVia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MetaVia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MetaVia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MetaVia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MetaVia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MetaVia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MetaVia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
MetaVia 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MetaVia's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MetaVia.
| 01/02/2023 |
| 12/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in MetaVia on January 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MetaVia or generate 0.0% return on investment in MetaVia over 720 days. MetaVia is related to or competes with Molson Coors, SkyWest, Vita Coco, Safety Shot, Diageo PLC, Monster Beverage, and National Beverage. MetaVia is entity of United States. It is traded as Stock on NASDAQ exchange. More
MetaVia Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MetaVia's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MetaVia upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.20) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 34.77 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.57) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.76 |
MetaVia Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MetaVia's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MetaVia's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MetaVia historical prices to predict the future MetaVia's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.14) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (1.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.10) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.33) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MetaVia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MetaVia Backtested Returns
MetaVia has Sharpe Ratio of -0.19, which conveys that the firm had a -0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. MetaVia exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify MetaVia's Standard Deviation of 4.95, risk adjusted performance of (0.14), and Mean Deviation of 3.52 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.89, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, MetaVia will likely underperform. At this point, MetaVia has a negative expected return of -0.93%. Please make sure to verify MetaVia's kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to decide if MetaVia performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.46 |
Average predictability
MetaVia has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MetaVia time series from 2nd of January 2023 to 28th of December 2023 and 28th of December 2023 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MetaVia price movement. The serial correlation of 0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current MetaVia price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.46 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.5 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.83 |
MetaVia lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is MetaVia stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting MetaVia's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of MetaVia returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that MetaVia has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
MetaVia regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If MetaVia stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if MetaVia stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in MetaVia stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
MetaVia Lagged Returns
When evaluating MetaVia's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of MetaVia stock have on its future price. MetaVia autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, MetaVia autocorrelation shows the relationship between MetaVia stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MetaVia.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether MetaVia offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of MetaVia's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Metavia Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Metavia Stock:Check out MetaVia Correlation, MetaVia Volatility and MetaVia Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on MetaVia. For information on how to trade MetaVia Stock refer to our How to Trade MetaVia Stock guide.You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
MetaVia technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.