NIPPON STEEL (Germany) Market Value

NPSA Stock  EUR 6.15  0.10  1.65%   
NIPPON STEEL's market value is the price at which a share of NIPPON STEEL trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NIPPON STEEL SPADR investors about its performance. NIPPON STEEL is trading at 6.15 as of the 30th of November 2024. This is a 1.65% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 6.15.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NIPPON STEEL SPADR and determine expected loss or profit from investing in NIPPON STEEL over a given investment horizon. Check out NIPPON STEEL Correlation, NIPPON STEEL Volatility and NIPPON STEEL Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on NIPPON STEEL.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between NIPPON STEEL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NIPPON STEEL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NIPPON STEEL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

NIPPON STEEL 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to NIPPON STEEL's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of NIPPON STEEL.
0.00
06/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in NIPPON STEEL on June 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NIPPON STEEL SPADR or generate 0.0% return on investment in NIPPON STEEL over 180 days. NIPPON STEEL is related to or competes with Regions Financial, National Bank, 24SEVENOFFICE GROUP, Mizuho Financial, and Heartland Financial. Nippon Steel Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in steelmaking and steel fabrication, engineering and ... More

NIPPON STEEL Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure NIPPON STEEL's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NIPPON STEEL SPADR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

NIPPON STEEL Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for NIPPON STEEL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as NIPPON STEEL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use NIPPON STEEL historical prices to predict the future NIPPON STEEL's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.506.157.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.875.527.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.225.877.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.016.116.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NIPPON STEEL. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NIPPON STEEL's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NIPPON STEEL's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NIPPON STEEL SPADR.

NIPPON STEEL SPADR Backtested Returns

NIPPON STEEL SPADR has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0785, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0785% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. NIPPON STEEL exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify NIPPON STEEL's risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Mean Deviation of 1.13 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0822, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, NIPPON STEEL's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding NIPPON STEEL is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, NIPPON STEEL SPADR has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to verify NIPPON STEEL's potential upside, kurtosis, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if NIPPON STEEL SPADR performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.06  

Virtually no predictability

NIPPON STEEL SPADR has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between NIPPON STEEL time series from 3rd of June 2024 to 1st of September 2024 and 1st of September 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NIPPON STEEL SPADR price movement. The serial correlation of 0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current NIPPON STEEL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.06
Spearman Rank Test-0.33
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

NIPPON STEEL SPADR lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is NIPPON STEEL stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting NIPPON STEEL's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of NIPPON STEEL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that NIPPON STEEL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

NIPPON STEEL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If NIPPON STEEL stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if NIPPON STEEL stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in NIPPON STEEL stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

NIPPON STEEL Lagged Returns

When evaluating NIPPON STEEL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of NIPPON STEEL stock have on its future price. NIPPON STEEL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, NIPPON STEEL autocorrelation shows the relationship between NIPPON STEEL stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NIPPON STEEL SPADR.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in NIPPON Stock

NIPPON STEEL financial ratios help investors to determine whether NIPPON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NIPPON with respect to the benefits of owning NIPPON STEEL security.