OSE Pharma (France) Market Value

OSE Stock  EUR 7.80  0.41  4.99%   
OSE Pharma's market value is the price at which a share of OSE Pharma trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of OSE Pharma SA investors about its performance. OSE Pharma is trading at 7.80 as of the 14th of December 2024, a 4.99% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 8.21.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of OSE Pharma SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in OSE Pharma over a given investment horizon. Check out OSE Pharma Correlation, OSE Pharma Volatility and OSE Pharma Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on OSE Pharma.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between OSE Pharma's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if OSE Pharma is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, OSE Pharma's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

OSE Pharma 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to OSE Pharma's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of OSE Pharma.
0.00
11/14/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/14/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in OSE Pharma on November 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding OSE Pharma SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in OSE Pharma over 30 days. OSE Pharma is related to or competes with Gensight Biologics, Innate Pharma, Poxel SA, and Nanobiotix. OSE Immunotherapeutics SA, a biotechnology company, focuses on the development of immunotherapies for immune activation ... More

OSE Pharma Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure OSE Pharma's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess OSE Pharma SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

OSE Pharma Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for OSE Pharma's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as OSE Pharma's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use OSE Pharma historical prices to predict the future OSE Pharma's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.977.8011.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.247.0710.90
Details

OSE Pharma SA Backtested Returns

OSE Pharma appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. OSE Pharma SA maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0878, which implies the firm had a 0.0878% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for OSE Pharma SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate OSE Pharma's Semi Deviation of 3.74, risk adjusted performance of 0.0633, and Mean Deviation of 2.63 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, OSE Pharma holds a performance score of 6. The company holds a Beta of 0.2, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, OSE Pharma's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding OSE Pharma is expected to be smaller as well. Please check OSE Pharma's information ratio, value at risk, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and semi variance , to make a quick decision on whether OSE Pharma's historical price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.61  

Good predictability

OSE Pharma SA has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between OSE Pharma time series from 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024 and 29th of November 2024 to 14th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of OSE Pharma SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current OSE Pharma price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.61
Spearman Rank Test0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.18

OSE Pharma SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is OSE Pharma stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting OSE Pharma's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of OSE Pharma returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that OSE Pharma has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

OSE Pharma regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If OSE Pharma stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if OSE Pharma stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in OSE Pharma stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

OSE Pharma Lagged Returns

When evaluating OSE Pharma's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of OSE Pharma stock have on its future price. OSE Pharma autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, OSE Pharma autocorrelation shows the relationship between OSE Pharma stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in OSE Pharma SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in OSE Stock

OSE Pharma financial ratios help investors to determine whether OSE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OSE with respect to the benefits of owning OSE Pharma security.