Radian (Germany) Market Value
| RAG Stock | EUR 29.80 0.60 1.97% |
| Symbol | Radian |
Radian 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Radian's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Radian.
| 11/28/2023 |
| 12/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Radian on November 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Radian Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Radian over 390 days. Radian is related to or competes with Mapfre SA, First American, MGIC Investment, Assured Guaranty, Nib Holdings, and Trupanion. Radian Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the mortgage and real estate services business in the United Sta... More
Radian Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Radian's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Radian Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.7 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.16) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.74 |
Radian Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Radian's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Radian's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Radian historical prices to predict the future Radian's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.10) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.06) |
Radian Group Backtested Returns
Radian Group maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0221, which implies the firm had a -0.0221% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Radian Group exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Radian's Coefficient Of Variation of (4,534), risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Variance of 3.43 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.86, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Radian returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Radian is expected to follow. At this point, Radian Group has a negative expected return of -0.0409%. Please make sure to check Radian's total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Radian Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.57 |
Modest predictability
Radian Group has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Radian time series from 28th of November 2023 to 10th of June 2024 and 10th of June 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Radian Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current Radian price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.57 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.58 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 2.58 |
Radian Group lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Radian stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Radian's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Radian returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Radian has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Radian regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Radian stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Radian stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Radian stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Radian Lagged Returns
When evaluating Radian's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Radian stock have on its future price. Radian autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Radian autocorrelation shows the relationship between Radian stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Radian Group.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Radian Stock
When determining whether Radian Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Radian's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Radian Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Radian Group Stock:Check out Radian Correlation, Radian Volatility and Radian Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Radian. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Radian technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.