Banco Santander (Spain) Market Value

SAN Stock  EUR 4.38  0.01  0.23%   
Banco Santander's market value is the price at which a share of Banco Santander trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Banco Santander investors about its performance. Banco Santander is trading at 4.38 as of the 3rd of December 2024, a 0.23% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 4.37.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Banco Santander and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Banco Santander over a given investment horizon. Check out Banco Santander Correlation, Banco Santander Volatility and Banco Santander Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Banco Santander.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Banco Santander's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Banco Santander is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Banco Santander's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Banco Santander 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Banco Santander's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Banco Santander.
0.00
10/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Banco Santander on October 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Banco Santander or generate 0.0% return on investment in Banco Santander over 60 days. Banco Santander is related to or competes with Repsol, Iberdrola, Banco De, Caixabank, and Industria. Banco Santander, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various retail and commercial banking products and servi... More

Banco Santander Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Banco Santander's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Banco Santander upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Banco Santander Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Banco Santander's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Banco Santander's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Banco Santander historical prices to predict the future Banco Santander's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.714.386.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.013.685.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.704.376.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.364.454.53
Details

Banco Santander Backtested Returns

At this point, Banco Santander is slightly risky. Banco Santander secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0341, which signifies that the company had a 0.0341% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Banco Santander, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Banco Santander's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0118, mean deviation of 1.26, and Downside Deviation of 2.15 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0563%. Banco Santander has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.25, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Banco Santander are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Banco Santander is likely to outperform the market. Banco Santander right now shows a risk of 1.65%. Please confirm Banco Santander expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to decide if Banco Santander will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.16  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Banco Santander has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Banco Santander time series from 4th of October 2024 to 3rd of November 2024 and 3rd of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Banco Santander price movement. The serial correlation of -0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current Banco Santander price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.16
Spearman Rank Test-0.39
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Banco Santander lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Banco Santander stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Banco Santander's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Banco Santander returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Banco Santander has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Banco Santander regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Banco Santander stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Banco Santander stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Banco Santander stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Banco Santander Lagged Returns

When evaluating Banco Santander's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Banco Santander stock have on its future price. Banco Santander autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Banco Santander autocorrelation shows the relationship between Banco Santander stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Banco Santander.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Banco Stock

Banco Santander financial ratios help investors to determine whether Banco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Banco with respect to the benefits of owning Banco Santander security.