Transgene Sa Stock Market Value

TRGNF Stock  USD 1.59  0.00  0.00%   
Transgene's market value is the price at which a share of Transgene trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Transgene SA investors about its performance. Transgene is trading at 1.59 as of the 2nd of December 2024. This is a No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.59.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Transgene SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Transgene over a given investment horizon. Check out Transgene Correlation, Transgene Volatility and Transgene Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Transgene.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Transgene's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Transgene is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Transgene's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Transgene 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Transgene's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Transgene.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Transgene on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Transgene SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Transgene over 720 days. Transgene is related to or competes with Uranium Energy, Perseus Mining, SNDL, National Beverage, and NH Foods. Transgene SA, a biotechnology company, focuses on designing and developing therapeutic vaccines and oncolytic viruses fo... More

Transgene Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Transgene's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Transgene SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Transgene Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Transgene's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Transgene's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Transgene historical prices to predict the future Transgene's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.591.591.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.591.591.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.591.591.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.591.591.59
Details

Transgene SA Backtested Returns

We have found three technical indicators for Transgene SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. The entity has a beta of 0.0, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. the returns on MARKET and Transgene are completely uncorrelated.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.28  

Weak reverse predictability

Transgene SA has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Transgene time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Transgene SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current Transgene price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.28
Spearman Rank Test0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Transgene SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Transgene pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Transgene's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Transgene returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Transgene has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Transgene regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Transgene pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Transgene pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Transgene pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Transgene Lagged Returns

When evaluating Transgene's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Transgene pink sheet have on its future price. Transgene autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Transgene autocorrelation shows the relationship between Transgene pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Transgene SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Transgene Pink Sheet

Transgene financial ratios help investors to determine whether Transgene Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Transgene with respect to the benefits of owning Transgene security.