Tsingtao Brewery (Germany) Market Value

TSI Stock  EUR 5.92  0.12  2.07%   
Tsingtao Brewery's market value is the price at which a share of Tsingtao Brewery trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tsingtao Brewery investors about its performance. Tsingtao Brewery is trading at 5.92 as of the 9th of December 2024. This is a 2.07 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 5.92.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tsingtao Brewery and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tsingtao Brewery over a given investment horizon. Check out Tsingtao Brewery Correlation, Tsingtao Brewery Volatility and Tsingtao Brewery Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tsingtao Brewery.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Tsingtao Brewery's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tsingtao Brewery is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tsingtao Brewery's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tsingtao Brewery 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tsingtao Brewery's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tsingtao Brewery.
0.00
07/18/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 4 months and 25 days
12/09/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tsingtao Brewery on July 18, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tsingtao Brewery or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tsingtao Brewery over 510 days. Tsingtao Brewery is related to or competes with Spirent Communications, Consolidated Communications, Boiron SA, Charter Communications, and Chunghwa Telecom. Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, wholesale, an... More

Tsingtao Brewery Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tsingtao Brewery's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tsingtao Brewery upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tsingtao Brewery Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tsingtao Brewery's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tsingtao Brewery's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tsingtao Brewery historical prices to predict the future Tsingtao Brewery's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.035.929.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.175.068.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.805.699.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.585.976.36
Details

Tsingtao Brewery Backtested Returns

Tsingtao Brewery appears to be moderately volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Tsingtao Brewery owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.098, which indicates the firm had a 0.098% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Tsingtao Brewery, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Tsingtao Brewery's Semi Deviation of 3.6, risk adjusted performance of 0.0711, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1176.37 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Tsingtao Brewery holds a performance score of 7. The entity has a beta of 0.54, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Tsingtao Brewery's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tsingtao Brewery is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Tsingtao Brewery's maximum drawdown, semi variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Tsingtao Brewery's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.79  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Tsingtao Brewery has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tsingtao Brewery time series from 18th of July 2023 to 29th of March 2024 and 29th of March 2024 to 9th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tsingtao Brewery price movement. The serial correlation of -0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current Tsingtao Brewery price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.79
Spearman Rank Test-0.59
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.92

Tsingtao Brewery lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tsingtao Brewery stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tsingtao Brewery's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tsingtao Brewery returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tsingtao Brewery has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Tsingtao Brewery regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tsingtao Brewery stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tsingtao Brewery stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tsingtao Brewery stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Tsingtao Brewery Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tsingtao Brewery's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tsingtao Brewery stock have on its future price. Tsingtao Brewery autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tsingtao Brewery autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tsingtao Brewery stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tsingtao Brewery.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Tsingtao Stock

Tsingtao Brewery financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tsingtao Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tsingtao with respect to the benefits of owning Tsingtao Brewery security.