CL 31 15 AUG 25 Market Value

194162AM5   97.70  1.39  1.40%   
194162AM5's market value is the price at which a share of 194162AM5 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CL 31 15 AUG 25 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CL 31 15 AUG 25 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 194162AM5 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 194162AM5 Correlation, 194162AM5 Volatility and 194162AM5 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 194162AM5.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 194162AM5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 194162AM5 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 194162AM5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

194162AM5 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 194162AM5's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 194162AM5.
0.00
11/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 194162AM5 on November 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CL 31 15 AUG 25 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 194162AM5 over 30 days. 194162AM5 is related to or competes with Topbuild Corp, CECO Environmental, Tyson Foods, RBC Bearings, Griffon, Jeld Wen, and Zhihu. More

194162AM5 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 194162AM5's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CL 31 15 AUG 25 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

194162AM5 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 194162AM5's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 194162AM5's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 194162AM5 historical prices to predict the future 194162AM5's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.4597.7097.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.5396.78107.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 194162AM5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 194162AM5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 194162AM5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 194162AM5.

194162AM5 Backtested Returns

194162AM5 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.11, which signifies that the bond had a -0.11% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 194162AM5 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 194162AM5's Variance of 0.4968, market risk adjusted performance of (0.39), and Information Ratio of (0.08) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0752, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 194162AM5's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 194162AM5 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.48  

Modest reverse predictability

CL 31 15 AUG 25 has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 194162AM5 time series from 24th of November 2024 to 9th of December 2024 and 9th of December 2024 to 24th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 194162AM5 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current 194162AM5 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.48
Spearman Rank Test0.18
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

194162AM5 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 194162AM5 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 194162AM5's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 194162AM5 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 194162AM5 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

194162AM5 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 194162AM5 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 194162AM5 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 194162AM5 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

194162AM5 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 194162AM5's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 194162AM5 bond have on its future price. 194162AM5 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 194162AM5 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 194162AM5 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CL 31 15 AUG 25.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 194162AM5 Bond

194162AM5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 194162AM5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 194162AM5 with respect to the benefits of owning 194162AM5 security.