Hussman Strategic Growth Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

HSGFX Fund  USD 5.57  0.02  0.36%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.66, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Hussman Strategic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Hussman Strategic is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Hussman Strategic Growth has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Hussman Strategic is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Subsets and Sensibility - Hussman Funds
10/14/2024
Expense Ratio Date1st of November 2022
Expense Ratio1.2200
  

Hussman Strategic Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  565.00  in Hussman Strategic Growth on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (8.00) from holding Hussman Strategic Growth or give up 1.42% of portfolio value over 90 days. Hussman Strategic Growth is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.6961% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 6% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Hussman, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hussman Strategic is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 1.07 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.19 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Hussman Strategic Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
5.57
Please note that Hussman Strategic's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Hussman Strategic Growth retains a regular Real Value of $5.11 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $5.57. We determine the value of Hussman Strategic Growth from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Hussman Strategic is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Hussman Mutual Fund. However, Hussman Strategic's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  5.57 Real  5.11 Hype  5.55 Naive  5.65
The intrinsic value of Hussman Strategic's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Hussman Strategic's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
5.11
Real Value
5.80
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Hussman Strategic Growth helps investors to forecast how Hussman mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Hussman Strategic more accurately as focusing exclusively on Hussman Strategic's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.415.555.69
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.865.556.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
4.955.656.34
Details

Hussman Strategic Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hussman Strategic's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Hussman Strategic Growth, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Hussman Strategic's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0286

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.7
  actual daily
6
94% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.02
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.03
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Hussman Strategic is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Hussman Strategic by adding Hussman Strategic to a well-diversified portfolio.

Hussman Strategic Fundamentals Growth

Hussman Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Hussman Strategic, and Hussman Strategic fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Hussman Mutual Fund performance.

About Hussman Strategic Performance

Evaluating Hussman Strategic's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Hussman Strategic has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Hussman Strategic has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund will typically be fully invested in common stocks favored by the funds investment adviser, except for modest cash balances arising in connection with the funds day-to-day operations. When market conditions are unfavorable in the view of the investment adviser, the fund may use options and index futures, as well as other hedging strategies, to reduce the exposure of the funds stock portfolio to the impact of general market fluctuations.

Things to note about Hussman Strategic Growth performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hussman Strategic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Hussman Strategic Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hussman Strategic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hussman Strategic Growth generated-7.0 ten year return of -7.0%
This fund retains about 23.31% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Hussman Strategic's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Hussman Strategic's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Hussman Strategic's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Hussman Strategic's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Hussman Strategic's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Hussman Strategic's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Hussman Strategic's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Hussman Strategic's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Hussman Strategic's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Hussman Strategic's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Hussman Strategic's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Hussman Mutual Fund

Hussman Strategic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hussman Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hussman with respect to the benefits of owning Hussman Strategic security.
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