First Trust Merger Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

VARCX Fund   10.46  0.01  0.1%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0742, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days First Trust Merger has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,100  in First Trust Merger on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (54.00) from holding First Trust Merger or give up 4.91% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Trust Merger is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.7033% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 6% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon First Trust is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 1.04 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

First Trust Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
10.46
Please note that First Trust's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. First Trust Merger shows a prevailing Real Value of USD10.53 per share. The current price of the fund is USD10.46. Our model computes the value of First Trust Merger from reviewing the entity technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. In general, investors advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since First Trust is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of First Mutual Fund. However, First Trust's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  10.46 Real  10.53 Hype  10.45 Naive  10.17
The intrinsic value of First Trust's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence First Trust's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
10.53
Real Value
11.24
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of First Trust Merger helps investors to forecast how First mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of First Trust more accurately as focusing exclusively on First Trust's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.4510.4510.45
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.7410.4511.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.4610.1710.88
Details

First Trust Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Trust's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as First Trust Merger, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a First Trust's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1082

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.7
  actual daily
6
94% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.08
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.11
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average First Trust is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of First Trust by adding First Trust to a well-diversified portfolio.

About First Trust Performance

Evaluating First Trust's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if First Trust has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Trust has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal market conditions, the funds adviser intends to invest in equity securities and derivatives thereof of companies that are involved in a significant corporate event, such as a merger or acquisition. Investments in companies undergoing a merger or acquisition have both risk and return characteristics that are different from the risks of investing in the general stock market. It may invest in equity securities of any market capitalization.

Things to note about First Trust Merger performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for First Trust Merger help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Trust Merger generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund keeps all of the net assets in exotic instruments
Evaluating First Trust's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First Trust's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing First Trust's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Trust's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First Trust's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First Trust's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Trust's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Trust's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into First Trust's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First Trust's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First Trust's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in First Mutual Fund

First Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Trust security.
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