XCMG Construction (China) Price Prediction
| 000425 Stock | 7.44 0.47 5.94% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.282 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.5171 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.6594 | Wall Street Target Price 9.5246 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Using XCMG Construction hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of XCMG Construction Machinery from the perspective of XCMG Construction response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in XCMG Construction to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying XCMG because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
XCMG Construction after-hype prediction price | CNY 7.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
XCMG |
XCMG Construction After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of XCMG Construction at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in XCMG Construction or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of XCMG Construction, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
XCMG Construction Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting XCMG Construction's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on XCMG Construction's historical news coverage. XCMG Construction's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.03 and 9.81, respectively. We have considered XCMG Construction's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
XCMG Construction is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of XCMG Construction is based on 3 months time horizon.
XCMG Construction Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as XCMG Construction is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading XCMG Construction backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with XCMG Construction, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 2.39 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.44 | 7.42 | 0.27 |
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XCMG Construction Hype Timeline
XCMG Construction is presently traded for 7.44on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. XCMG is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.27%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on XCMG Construction is about 11950.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.44. About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.49. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. XCMG Construction has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.77. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of July 2024. The firm had 30:10 split on the 23rd of September 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out XCMG Construction Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.XCMG Construction Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to XCMG Construction's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict XCMG Construction's future price movements. Getting to know how XCMG Construction's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how XCMG Construction may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601398 | Industrial and Commercial | (0.04) | 2 per month | 1.01 | 0.15 | 2.83 | (1.71) | 8.14 | |
| 601288 | Agricultural Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.25 | 0.12 | 2.20 | (1.89) | 7.78 | |
| 601939 | China Construction Bank | 0.01 | 2 per month | 1.16 | 0.16 | 3.32 | (1.93) | 8.64 | |
| 601988 | Bank of China | 0.02 | 3 per month | 0.97 | 0.12 | 2.67 | (1.98) | 7.70 | |
| 601658 | Postal Savings Bank | (0.01) | 2 per month | 1.32 | 0.15 | 3.49 | (2.23) | 9.13 | |
| 601328 | Bank of Communications | (0.03) | 2 per month | 1.24 | 0.11 | 3.26 | (2.12) | 10.82 | |
| 601318 | Ping An Insurance | 0.49 | 2 per month | 1.95 | 0.12 | 5.83 | (2.88) | 19.77 | |
| 600036 | China Merchants Bank | (0.24) | 2 per month | 1.76 | 0.16 | 4.65 | (2.56) | 13.83 | |
| 601166 | Industrial Bank Co | 0.05 | 2 per month | 1.50 | 0.12 | 3.84 | (2.41) | 12.07 | |
| 601998 | China Citic Bank | (0.05) | 2 per month | 1.81 | 0.12 | 3.02 | (2.37) | 13.33 |
XCMG Construction Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine XCMG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for XCMG using various technical indicators. When you analyze XCMG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About XCMG Construction Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of XCMG Construction stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as XCMG Construction Machinery, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of XCMG Construction based on analysis of XCMG Construction hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to XCMG Construction's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to XCMG Construction's related companies.
Story Coverage note for XCMG Construction
The number of cover stories for XCMG Construction depends on current market conditions and XCMG Construction's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that XCMG Construction is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about XCMG Construction's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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XCMG Construction Short Properties
XCMG Construction's future price predictability will typically decrease when XCMG Construction's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of XCMG Construction Machinery often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential XCMG Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XCMG Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.8 B |
Complementary Tools for XCMG Stock analysis
When running XCMG Construction's price analysis, check to measure XCMG Construction's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy XCMG Construction is operating at the current time. Most of XCMG Construction's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of XCMG Construction's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move XCMG Construction's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of XCMG Construction to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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