CarMax (UK) Price Prediction

0HTQ Stock   85.00  1.48  1.77%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of CarMax's stock price is slightly above 68. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling CarMax, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

68

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CarMax's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CarMax and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CarMax's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CarMax Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting CarMax's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.135
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
Using CarMax hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CarMax Inc from the perspective of CarMax response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CarMax to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CarMax because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CarMax after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 82.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out CarMax Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.3468.2991.87
Details

CarMax After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CarMax at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CarMax or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CarMax, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CarMax Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CarMax's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CarMax's historical news coverage. CarMax's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 80.95 and 84.85, respectively. We have considered CarMax's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
85.00
82.90
After-hype Price
84.85
Upside
CarMax is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CarMax Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

CarMax Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CarMax is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CarMax backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CarMax, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
1.91
  0.52 
  0.06 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
85.00
82.90
0.74 
55.20  
Notes

CarMax Hype Timeline

CarMax Inc is presently traded for 85.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.52, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. CarMax is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 82.9. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 55.2%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.74%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on CarMax is about 450.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 85.06. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.97. CarMax Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Check out CarMax Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CarMax Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CarMax's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CarMax's future price movements. Getting to know how CarMax's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CarMax may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

CarMax Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CarMax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CarMax using various technical indicators. When you analyze CarMax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CarMax Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CarMax stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CarMax Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CarMax based on analysis of CarMax hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CarMax's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CarMax's related companies.

Story Coverage note for CarMax

The number of cover stories for CarMax depends on current market conditions and CarMax's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CarMax is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CarMax's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

CarMax Short Properties

CarMax's future price predictability will typically decrease when CarMax's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CarMax Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CarMax's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CarMax's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding158.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments574.1 M

Additional Tools for CarMax Stock Analysis

When running CarMax's price analysis, check to measure CarMax's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CarMax is operating at the current time. Most of CarMax's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CarMax's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CarMax's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CarMax to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.