Lepu Medical (China) Price Prediction

300003 Stock   11.85  0.18  1.50%   
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Lepu Medical's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

53

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lepu Medical's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lepu Medical Tech, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lepu Medical's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.73)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.52
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.67
Wall Street Target Price
14.085
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.27
Using Lepu Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lepu Medical Tech from the perspective of Lepu Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lepu Medical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lepu because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lepu Medical after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 11.99  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Lepu Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.7410.1714.60
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Lepu Medical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lepu Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lepu Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lepu Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lepu Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lepu Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lepu Medical's historical news coverage. Lepu Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.56 and 16.42, respectively. We have considered Lepu Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.85
11.99
After-hype Price
16.42
Upside
Lepu Medical is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lepu Medical Tech is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lepu Medical Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lepu Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lepu Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lepu Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.48 
4.43
  0.04 
  0.29 
3 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.85
11.99
0.33 
4,922  
Notes

Lepu Medical Hype Timeline

Lepu Medical Tech is presently traded for 11.85on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.29. Lepu is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.99. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.33%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Lepu Medical is about 728.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.14. About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.43. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Lepu Medical Tech has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.05. The entity last dividend was issued on the 20th of September 2024. The firm had 20:10 split on the 23rd of June 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Lepu Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Lepu Medical Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lepu Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lepu Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Lepu Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lepu Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601336New China Life 6.13 1 per month 1.92  0.20  8.54 (4.03) 16.01 
601615Ming Yang Smart(0.20)2 per month 2.36  0.19  7.78 (3.82) 18.14 
159681159681 0.00 0 per month 3.02  0.13  8.99 (4.00) 36.32 
159005159005 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.95) 0.01 (0.01) 0.14 
300729Loctek Ergonomic Technology 0.00 0 per month 3.05  0.09  6.27 (3.81) 24.80 
002952Yes Optoelectronics Co 0.00 0 per month 3.87  0.1  9.02 (6.36) 19.99 
516220516220 0.00 0 per month 1.74  0.09  5.26 (3.03) 17.74 
002096Hunan Nanling Industrial 0.00 0 per month 2.39  0.07  4.30 (3.86) 13.27 
002999Guangdong Tianhe Agricultural 0.00 0 per month 3.18  0.09  6.20 (5.34) 17.06 
300243Shandong Ruifeng Chemical 0.15 2 per month 3.83  0.12  10.41 (4.80) 31.77 

Lepu Medical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lepu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lepu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lepu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lepu Medical Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lepu Medical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lepu Medical Tech, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lepu Medical based on analysis of Lepu Medical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lepu Medical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lepu Medical's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Lepu Medical

The number of cover stories for Lepu Medical depends on current market conditions and Lepu Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lepu Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lepu Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Lepu Medical Short Properties

Lepu Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lepu Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lepu Medical Tech often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lepu Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lepu Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.9 B

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When running Lepu Medical's price analysis, check to measure Lepu Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lepu Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Lepu Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lepu Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lepu Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lepu Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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