Ningbo GQY (China) Price Prediction

300076 Stock   8.05  0.03  0.37%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Ningbo GQY's stock price is about 66. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ningbo, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

66

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ningbo GQY's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ningbo GQY Video, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ningbo GQY's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.889
Wall Street Target Price
39.6
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.48)
Using Ningbo GQY hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ningbo GQY Video from the perspective of Ningbo GQY response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ningbo GQY to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ningbo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ningbo GQY after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 8.92  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Ningbo GQY Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.405.9911.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.688.2613.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.576.257.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ningbo GQY. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ningbo GQY's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ningbo GQY's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ningbo GQY Video.

Ningbo GQY After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ningbo GQY at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ningbo GQY or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ningbo GQY, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ningbo GQY Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ningbo GQY's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ningbo GQY's historical news coverage. Ningbo GQY's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.33 and 14.51, respectively. We have considered Ningbo GQY's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.05
8.92
After-hype Price
14.51
Upside
Ningbo GQY is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ningbo GQY Video is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ningbo GQY Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ningbo GQY is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ningbo GQY backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ningbo GQY, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.45 
5.59
  0.87 
  0.09 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.05
8.92
10.81 
931.67  
Notes

Ningbo GQY Hype Timeline

Ningbo GQY Video is presently traded for 8.05on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.87, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Ningbo is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.92 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 10.81%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.45%. The volatility of related hype on Ningbo GQY is about 9126.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.14. Ningbo GQY Video has accumulated 3.19 M in total debt. Debt can assist Ningbo GQY until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ningbo GQY's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ningbo GQY Video sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ningbo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ningbo GQY's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Ningbo GQY Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ningbo GQY Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ningbo GQY's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ningbo GQY's future price movements. Getting to know how Ningbo GQY's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ningbo GQY may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
600715Cultural Investment Holdings 0.1 1 per month 2.66  0.13  5.09 (4.79) 10.24 
508058CICC Fund Management 0.03 1 per month 0.55 (0.02) 2.19 (1.24) 3.83 
000895Henan Shuanghui Investment 0.45 1 per month 1.58  0.05  3.31 (2.17) 12.43 
000506Zhongrun Resources Investment(0.09)1 per month 3.59  0.29  5.15 (5.10) 10.40 
600053Kunwu Jiuding Investment 0.00 0 per month 3.31  0.11  8.78 (6.06) 19.97 
000609Beijing Mainstreets Investment 0.00 1 per month 2.93  0.1  5.17 (5.10) 10.31 
002021Zoje Resources Investment 0.00 0 per month 2.63  0.26  10.04 (3.19) 20.19 
508019Cicc Fund Management 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.32) 1.30 (0.87) 3.41 

Ningbo GQY Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ningbo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ningbo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ningbo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ningbo GQY Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ningbo GQY stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ningbo GQY Video, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ningbo GQY based on analysis of Ningbo GQY hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ningbo GQY's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ningbo GQY's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Ningbo GQY

The number of cover stories for Ningbo GQY depends on current market conditions and Ningbo GQY's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ningbo GQY is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ningbo GQY's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Ningbo GQY Short Properties

Ningbo GQY's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ningbo GQY's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ningbo GQY Video often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ningbo GQY's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ningbo GQY's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding424 M
Cash And Short Term Investments593.7 M

Complementary Tools for Ningbo Stock analysis

When running Ningbo GQY's price analysis, check to measure Ningbo GQY's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ningbo GQY is operating at the current time. Most of Ningbo GQY's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ningbo GQY's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ningbo GQY's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ningbo GQY to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format