Shenzhen Changfang (China) Price Prediction

300301 Stock   1.94  0.04  2.02%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Shenzhen Changfang's stock price is about 60. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Shenzhen, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

60

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Shenzhen Changfang's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shenzhen Changfang Light, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Shenzhen Changfang's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.502
Wall Street Target Price
10.5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.14)
Using Shenzhen Changfang hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shenzhen Changfang Light from the perspective of Shenzhen Changfang response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Shenzhen Changfang to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Shenzhen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Shenzhen Changfang after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 1.94  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Shenzhen Changfang Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.765.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.056.21
Details

Shenzhen Changfang After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Shenzhen Changfang at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shenzhen Changfang or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shenzhen Changfang, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Shenzhen Changfang Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Shenzhen Changfang's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shenzhen Changfang's historical news coverage. Shenzhen Changfang's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 6.11, respectively. We have considered Shenzhen Changfang's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.94
1.94
After-hype Price
6.11
Upside
Shenzhen Changfang is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shenzhen Changfang Light is based on 3 months time horizon.

Shenzhen Changfang Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shenzhen Changfang is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shenzhen Changfang backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shenzhen Changfang, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.92 
4.20
 0.00  
  0.10 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.94
1.94
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Shenzhen Changfang Hype Timeline

Shenzhen Changfang Light is presently traded for 1.94on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.1. Shenzhen is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.92%. %. The volatility of related hype on Shenzhen Changfang is about 3775.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.04. About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company recorded a loss per share of 0.12. Shenzhen Changfang Light last dividend was issued on the 14th of April 2016. The entity had 22:10 split on the 12th of May 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Shenzhen Changfang Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Shenzhen Changfang Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Shenzhen Changfang's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shenzhen Changfang's future price movements. Getting to know how Shenzhen Changfang's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shenzhen Changfang may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
002516Kuangda Technology Group 0.00 0 per month 2.32  0.18  9.40 (4.35) 16.92 
002534Xizi Clean Energy 0.06 1 per month 2.19  0.07  4.73 (3.48) 18.08 
002659Beijing Kaiwen Education 0.38 1 per month 3.34  0.13  7.69 (5.91) 20.05 
601019Shandong Publishing Media(0.60)1 per month 2.57 (0.04) 3.26 (3.31) 16.11 
002987Northking Information Technology 0.00 0 per month 3.25  0.12  9.98 (6.24) 18.64 
002993Dongguan Aohai Technology 0.41 1 per month 2.72  0.18  10.01 (5.36) 19.98 
300825Iat Automobile Technology 0.64 2 per month 3.38  0.13  9.23 (6.50) 25.82 
002177Guangzhou KingTeller Technology 0.00 0 per month 3.65  0.24  9.94 (6.46) 20.03 

Shenzhen Changfang Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shenzhen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shenzhen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shenzhen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Shenzhen Changfang Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Shenzhen Changfang stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Shenzhen Changfang Light, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shenzhen Changfang based on analysis of Shenzhen Changfang hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Shenzhen Changfang's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Shenzhen Changfang's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Shenzhen Changfang

The number of cover stories for Shenzhen Changfang depends on current market conditions and Shenzhen Changfang's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shenzhen Changfang is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shenzhen Changfang's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Shenzhen Changfang Short Properties

Shenzhen Changfang's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shenzhen Changfang's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shenzhen Changfang Light often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shenzhen Changfang's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shenzhen Changfang's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding790.1 M

Complementary Tools for Shenzhen Stock analysis

When running Shenzhen Changfang's price analysis, check to measure Shenzhen Changfang's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shenzhen Changfang is operating at the current time. Most of Shenzhen Changfang's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shenzhen Changfang's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shenzhen Changfang's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shenzhen Changfang to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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