ENSTAR GROUP (Germany) Price Prediction
| 48R Stock | EUR 304.00 2.00 0.66% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ENSTAR GROUP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ENSTAR GROUP LTD from the perspective of ENSTAR GROUP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ENSTAR GROUP to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ENSTAR because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ENSTAR GROUP after-hype prediction price | EUR 304.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ENSTAR |
ENSTAR GROUP After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ENSTAR GROUP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ENSTAR GROUP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ENSTAR GROUP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ENSTAR GROUP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ENSTAR GROUP's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ENSTAR GROUP's historical news coverage. ENSTAR GROUP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 303.33 and 304.67, respectively. We have considered ENSTAR GROUP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ENSTAR GROUP is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ENSTAR GROUP LTD is based on 3 months time horizon.
ENSTAR GROUP Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ENSTAR GROUP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ENSTAR GROUP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ENSTAR GROUP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
304.00 | 304.00 | 0.00 |
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ENSTAR GROUP Hype Timeline
ENSTAR GROUP LTD is presently traded for 304.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ENSTAR is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on ENSTAR GROUP is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 304.00. About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.67. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. ENSTAR GROUP LTD recorded earning per share (EPS) of 92.76. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out ENSTAR GROUP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ENSTAR GROUP Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ENSTAR GROUP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ENSTAR GROUP's future price movements. Getting to know how ENSTAR GROUP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ENSTAR GROUP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALV | Allianz SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.76 | (0.02) | 1.27 | (1.08) | 3.57 | |
| ALVE | ALLIANZ SE UNSPADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | 0.01 | 3.38 | (2.63) | 9.66 | |
| AXAA | AXA SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.50 | (2.30) | 9.64 | |
| ASG0 | ASSGENERALI ADR 12EO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.25 | 0.03 | 2.34 | (2.21) | 9.21 | |
| PG4 | Principal Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 1.98 | (2.57) | 11.62 | |
| AXJ | Equitable Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.16 | 0.10 | 2.77 | (1.44) | 15.91 | |
| 2NN | NN Group NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.21 | (1.87) | 4.15 | |
| 48R | ENSTAR GROUP LTD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.49 | 0.09 | 1.34 | (0.68) | 3.99 |
ENSTAR GROUP Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ENSTAR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ENSTAR using various technical indicators. When you analyze ENSTAR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ENSTAR GROUP Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ENSTAR GROUP stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ENSTAR GROUP LTD, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ENSTAR GROUP based on analysis of ENSTAR GROUP hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ENSTAR GROUP's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ENSTAR GROUP's related companies.
Story Coverage note for ENSTAR GROUP
The number of cover stories for ENSTAR GROUP depends on current market conditions and ENSTAR GROUP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ENSTAR GROUP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ENSTAR GROUP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ENSTAR GROUP Short Properties
ENSTAR GROUP's future price predictability will typically decrease when ENSTAR GROUP's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ENSTAR GROUP LTD often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ENSTAR GROUP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ENSTAR GROUP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Float Shares | 13.6M |
Complementary Tools for ENSTAR Stock analysis
When running ENSTAR GROUP's price analysis, check to measure ENSTAR GROUP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ENSTAR GROUP is operating at the current time. Most of ENSTAR GROUP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ENSTAR GROUP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ENSTAR GROUP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ENSTAR GROUP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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