Guotai Junan (China) Price Prediction
| 601211 Stock | 18.95 0.04 0.21% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
50
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.568 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.29 | Wall Street Target Price 19.82 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.472 |
Using Guotai Junan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guotai Junan Securities from the perspective of Guotai Junan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Guotai Junan to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Guotai because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Guotai Junan after-hype prediction price | CNY 18.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Guotai |
Guotai Junan After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Guotai Junan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guotai Junan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Guotai Junan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Guotai Junan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Guotai Junan's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guotai Junan's historical news coverage. Guotai Junan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.12 and 21.64, respectively. We have considered Guotai Junan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Guotai Junan is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guotai Junan Securities is based on 3 months time horizon.
Guotai Junan Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Guotai Junan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guotai Junan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guotai Junan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 2.74 | 0.03 | 0.12 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.95 | 18.88 | 0.16 |
|
Guotai Junan Hype Timeline
Guotai Junan Securities is presently traded for 18.95on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. Guotai is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 18.88. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.46%. The volatility of related hype on Guotai Junan is about 1085.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.07. About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.01. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Guotai Junan Securities last dividend was issued on the 21st of October 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Guotai Junan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Guotai Junan Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Guotai Junan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guotai Junan's future price movements. Getting to know how Guotai Junan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guotai Junan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 002990 | Maxvision Technology Corp | 0.65 | 1 per month | 2.99 | 0.11 | 6.25 | (4.72) | 19.36 | |
| 300672 | Goke Microelectronics Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.66 | 0.17 | 10.31 | (5.50) | 28.99 | |
| 002156 | TongFu Microelectronics Co | 0.77 | 1 per month | 2.92 | 0.19 | 10.00 | (5.77) | 19.93 | |
| 002036 | LianChuang Electronic Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.63 | 0.14 | 9.97 | (5.52) | 20.09 | |
| 002516 | Kuangda Technology Group | (0.02) | 1 per month | 2.95 | 0.15 | 9.40 | (5.22) | 16.92 | |
| 605277 | Xinya Electronic Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.56 | 0.18 | 5.59 | (4.05) | 17.83 | |
| 300825 | Iat Automobile Technology | 0.64 | 1 per month | 3.72 | 0.13 | 9.23 | (6.50) | 25.82 | |
| 002217 | Holitech Technology Co | (0.02) | 1 per month | 2.76 | 0.30 | 5.17 | (5.04) | 10.46 |
Guotai Junan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Guotai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guotai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guotai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Guotai Junan Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Guotai Junan stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Guotai Junan Securities, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guotai Junan based on analysis of Guotai Junan hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Guotai Junan's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Guotai Junan's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Guotai Junan
The number of cover stories for Guotai Junan depends on current market conditions and Guotai Junan's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guotai Junan is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guotai Junan's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Guotai Junan Short Properties
Guotai Junan's future price predictability will typically decrease when Guotai Junan's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Guotai Junan Securities often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Guotai Junan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guotai Junan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.9 B |
Complementary Tools for Guotai Stock analysis
When running Guotai Junan's price analysis, check to measure Guotai Junan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guotai Junan is operating at the current time. Most of Guotai Junan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guotai Junan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guotai Junan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guotai Junan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Bonds Directory Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies | |
| ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
| Idea Optimizer Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio |