Giantec Semiconductor (China) Price Prediction

688123 Stock   63.29  1.59  2.45%   
As of 29th of December 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of Giantec Semiconductor's share price is at 55. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Giantec Semiconductor, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

55

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Giantec Semiconductor's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Giantec Semiconductor Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Giantec Semiconductor's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.519
Wall Street Target Price
76.85
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.377
Using Giantec Semiconductor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Giantec Semiconductor Corp from the perspective of Giantec Semiconductor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Giantec Semiconductor to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Giantec because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Giantec Semiconductor after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 63.99  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Giantec Semiconductor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.5052.1169.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Giantec Semiconductor. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Giantec Semiconductor's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Giantec Semiconductor's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Giantec Semiconductor.

Giantec Semiconductor After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Giantec Semiconductor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Giantec Semiconductor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Giantec Semiconductor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Giantec Semiconductor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Giantec Semiconductor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Giantec Semiconductor's historical news coverage. Giantec Semiconductor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.38 and 68.60, respectively. We have considered Giantec Semiconductor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
63.29
63.99
After-hype Price
68.60
Upside
Giantec Semiconductor is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Giantec Semiconductor is based on 3 months time horizon.

Giantec Semiconductor Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Giantec Semiconductor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Giantec Semiconductor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Giantec Semiconductor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
4.57
  0.70 
  0.03 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
63.29
63.99
1.11 
143.26  
Notes

Giantec Semiconductor Hype Timeline

Giantec Semiconductor is presently traded for 63.29on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.7, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Giantec is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 63.99 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 143.26%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 1.11%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Giantec Semiconductor is about 3231.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 63.26. The company reported the revenue of 703.48 M. Net Income was 98.76 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 631.95 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Giantec Semiconductor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Giantec Semiconductor Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Giantec Semiconductor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Giantec Semiconductor's future price movements. Getting to know how Giantec Semiconductor's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Giantec Semiconductor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
600764China Marine Information(1.31)3 per month 3.04  0.14  9.83 (4.78) 17.66 
603999Duzhe Publishing Media 0.00 0 per month 3.35  0.13  5.67 (4.57) 18.79 
605098Shanghai Action Education(0.74)2 per month 3.17  0.04  5.64 (6.19) 19.77 
600551Time Publishing and 0.22 1 per month 2.56  0.07  3.26 (3.31) 16.18 
600794Zhangjiagang Freetrade Science 0.28 1 per month 2.45  0.12  4.01 (4.34) 16.54 
601019Shandong Publishing Media(0.60)1 per month 0.00 (0.03) 3.26 (3.31) 16.11 
601900Southern PublishingMedia Co 1.16 1 per month 3.28  0.09  6.43 (5.43) 17.72 

Giantec Semiconductor Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Giantec price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Giantec using various technical indicators. When you analyze Giantec charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Giantec Semiconductor Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Giantec Semiconductor stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Giantec Semiconductor Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Giantec Semiconductor based on analysis of Giantec Semiconductor hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Giantec Semiconductor's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Giantec Semiconductor's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Giantec Semiconductor

The number of cover stories for Giantec Semiconductor depends on current market conditions and Giantec Semiconductor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Giantec Semiconductor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Giantec Semiconductor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Giantec Semiconductor Short Properties

Giantec Semiconductor's future price predictability will typically decrease when Giantec Semiconductor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Giantec Semiconductor Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Giantec Semiconductor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Giantec Semiconductor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding158.2 M

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When running Giantec Semiconductor's price analysis, check to measure Giantec Semiconductor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Giantec Semiconductor is operating at the current time. Most of Giantec Semiconductor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Giantec Semiconductor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Giantec Semiconductor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Giantec Semiconductor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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