Acast AB (Sweden) Price Prediction
| ACAST Stock | 14.45 0.35 2.36% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Acast AB hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acast AB from the perspective of Acast AB response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Acast AB to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Acast because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Acast AB after-hype prediction price | SEK 14.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Acast |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acast AB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Acast AB After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Acast AB at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Acast AB or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Acast AB, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Acast AB Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Acast AB's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Acast AB's historical news coverage. Acast AB's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.33 and 16.57, respectively. We have considered Acast AB's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Acast AB is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Acast AB is based on 3 months time horizon.
Acast AB Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Acast AB is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acast AB backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Acast AB, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 2.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.45 | 14.45 | 0.00 |
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Acast AB Hype Timeline
Acast AB is presently traded for 14.45on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Acast is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Acast AB is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.45. About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.84. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Acast AB recorded a loss per share of 1.92. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Acast AB Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Acast AB Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Acast AB's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Acast AB's future price movements. Getting to know how Acast AB's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Acast AB may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CINT | Cint Group AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.15 | 0.12 | 6.61 | (4.03) | 26.62 | |
| STORY-B | Storytel AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.91 | 0.1 | 4.21 | (3.84) | 13.39 | |
| SF | Stillfront Group AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.81 | 0.01 | 5.56 | (5.13) | 20.88 | |
| THUNDR | Thunderful Group AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 4.31 | (4.49) | 26.46 | |
| LIME | Lime Technologies AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.62 | 0.05 | 3.56 | (3.12) | 13.48 |
Acast AB Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Acast price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acast using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acast charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Acast AB Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Acast AB stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Acast AB, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Acast AB based on analysis of Acast AB hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Acast AB's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Acast AB's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Acast AB
The number of cover stories for Acast AB depends on current market conditions and Acast AB's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Acast AB is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Acast AB's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Acast AB Short Properties
Acast AB's future price predictability will typically decrease when Acast AB's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Acast AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Acast AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acast AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 136.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Additional Tools for Acast Stock Analysis
When running Acast AB's price analysis, check to measure Acast AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acast AB is operating at the current time. Most of Acast AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acast AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acast AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acast AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.