Svenska Aerogel (Sweden) Price Prediction
| AERO Stock | SEK 10.10 0.20 1.94% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Svenska Aerogel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Svenska Aerogel Holding from the perspective of Svenska Aerogel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Svenska Aerogel to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Svenska because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Svenska Aerogel after-hype prediction price | SEK 10.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Svenska |
Svenska Aerogel After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Svenska Aerogel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Svenska Aerogel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Svenska Aerogel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Svenska Aerogel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Svenska Aerogel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Svenska Aerogel's historical news coverage. Svenska Aerogel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.26 and 16.94, respectively. We have considered Svenska Aerogel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Svenska Aerogel is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Svenska Aerogel Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Svenska Aerogel Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Svenska Aerogel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Svenska Aerogel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Svenska Aerogel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 6.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.10 | 10.10 | 0.00 |
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Svenska Aerogel Hype Timeline
Svenska Aerogel Holding is presently traded for 10.10on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Svenska is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on Svenska Aerogel is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.10. The book value of the company was presently reported as 0.21. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.27. Svenska Aerogel Holding had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 100:1 split on the 4th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Svenska Aerogel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Svenska Aerogel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Svenska Aerogel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Svenska Aerogel's future price movements. Getting to know how Svenska Aerogel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Svenska Aerogel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SALT-B | SaltX Technology Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.16 | 0.06 | 8.07 | (6.03) | 18.24 | |
| NEXAM | Nexam Chemical Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.67 | (5.13) | 17.80 | |
| AAC | AAC Clyde Space | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.02 | 0.11 | 7.25 | (3.52) | 20.58 | |
| TRIBO-B | Triboron International AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.32 | (8.33) | 27.11 |
Svenska Aerogel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Svenska price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Svenska using various technical indicators. When you analyze Svenska charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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About Svenska Aerogel Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Svenska Aerogel stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Svenska Aerogel Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Svenska Aerogel based on analysis of Svenska Aerogel hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Svenska Aerogel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Svenska Aerogel's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Svenska Aerogel
The number of cover stories for Svenska Aerogel depends on current market conditions and Svenska Aerogel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Svenska Aerogel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Svenska Aerogel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Svenska Aerogel Short Properties
Svenska Aerogel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Svenska Aerogel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Svenska Aerogel Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Svenska Aerogel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Svenska Aerogel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 34.2 M |
Additional Tools for Svenska Stock Analysis
When running Svenska Aerogel's price analysis, check to measure Svenska Aerogel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Svenska Aerogel is operating at the current time. Most of Svenska Aerogel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Svenska Aerogel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Svenska Aerogel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Svenska Aerogel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.