Aflac Incorporated Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 84.70 85.89 125.51 Details

12 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 70.14 77.08 85.56 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 1.60 1.63 1.83 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aflac Incorporated. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aflac Incorporated's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aflac Incorporated's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aflac Incorporated.

Aflac Incorporated After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Aflac Incorporated Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Aflac Incorporated Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.07	1.19	0.05	0.01	12 Events / Month	9 Events / Month	In about 12 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
114.10	114.15	0.04	165.28   Notes

Aflac Incorporated Hype Timeline

On the 28th of November Aflac Incorporated is traded for 114.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Aflac is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 114.15 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 165.28%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Aflac Incorporated is about 818.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 114.09. The company reported the last year's revenue of 18.7 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 4.66 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 8.08 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Aflac Incorporated Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Aflac Stock please use our How to buy in Aflac Stock guide.

Aflac Incorporated Related Hype Analysis

Aflac Incorporated Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aflac price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aflac using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aflac charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Aflac Incorporated stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aflac Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aflac Incorporated based on analysis of Aflac Incorporated hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Aflac Incorporated depends on current market conditions and Aflac Incorporated's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aflac Incorporated is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aflac Incorporated's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Aflac Incorporated's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aflac Incorporated's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aflac Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aflac Incorporated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aflac Incorporated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Check out Aflac Incorporated Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Aflac Stock please use our How to buy in Aflac Stock guide.You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

Is Life & Health Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aflac Incorporated. If investors know Aflac will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aflac Incorporated listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of Aflac Incorporated is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aflac that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aflac Incorporated's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aflac Incorporated's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aflac Incorporated's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aflac Incorporated's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aflac Incorporated's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aflac Incorporated is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aflac Incorporated's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.