Lincoln National Stock Price Prediction

LNC Stock  USD 35.45  0.09  0.25%   
At the present time, The relative strength indicator of Lincoln National's share price is at 56. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lincoln National, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

56

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lincoln National's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lincoln National, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lincoln National's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.736
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.82
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.4044
EPS Estimate Next Year
7.6886
Wall Street Target Price
35.9091
Using Lincoln National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lincoln National from the perspective of Lincoln National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Lincoln National Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Lincoln National's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lincoln. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lincoln can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lincoln National. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lincoln National's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lincoln National.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lincoln National to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lincoln because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lincoln National after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 35.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Lincoln National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Lincoln Stock refer to our How to Trade Lincoln Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.2929.8039.00
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
23.2825.5828.39
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.431.841.81
Details

Lincoln National After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lincoln National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lincoln National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lincoln National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lincoln National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lincoln National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lincoln National's historical news coverage. Lincoln National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.99 and 38.01, respectively. We have considered Lincoln National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
35.45
35.50
After-hype Price
38.01
Upside
Lincoln National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lincoln National is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lincoln National Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lincoln National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lincoln National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lincoln National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
2.51
  0.05 
 0.00  
7 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
35.45
35.50
0.14 
965.38  
Notes

Lincoln National Hype Timeline

On the 28th of November Lincoln National is traded for 35.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Lincoln is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 35.5 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Lincoln National is about 50200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.45. The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.64 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (752 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (1.73 B). Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Lincoln National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Lincoln Stock refer to our How to Trade Lincoln Stock guide.

Lincoln National Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lincoln National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lincoln National's future price movements. Getting to know how Lincoln National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lincoln National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LNCLincoln National 0.26 7 per month 1.79  0.03  3.45 (3.07) 16.67 
AFLAflac Incorporated 0.72 12 per month 1.22 (0.02) 1.52 (1.53) 6.76 
UNMUnum Group 0.49 10 per month 0.08  0.26  3.79 (1.42) 9.41 
MFCManulife Financial Corp(0.03)8 per month 0.67  0.1  2.09 (1.55) 5.94 
PRUPrudential Financial(0.45)12 per month 1.30  0.03  1.97 (2.05) 9.29 
JXNJackson Financial(2.20)10 per month 2.17  0.05  4.62 (2.94) 20.40 
GLGlobe Life 1.64 10 per month 1.53  0.02  1.86 (2.16) 8.50 
CNOCNO Financial Group(0.24)11 per month 1.16  0.08  2.75 (2.33) 13.72 
BHFAPBrighthouse Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.87 (0.11) 1.46 (1.29) 4.08 
PUKPrudential Public Limited(0.24)12 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.76 (3.79) 13.38 

Lincoln National Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lincoln price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lincoln using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lincoln charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lincoln National Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lincoln National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lincoln National, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lincoln National based on analysis of Lincoln National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lincoln National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lincoln National's related companies.
 2022 2023 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0590.0846
Price To Sales Ratio0.280.39

Story Coverage note for Lincoln National

The number of cover stories for Lincoln National depends on current market conditions and Lincoln National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lincoln National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lincoln National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Lincoln National Short Properties

Lincoln National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lincoln National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lincoln National often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lincoln National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lincoln National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding169.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.4 B

Complementary Tools for Lincoln Stock analysis

When running Lincoln National's price analysis, check to measure Lincoln National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lincoln National is operating at the current time. Most of Lincoln National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lincoln National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lincoln National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lincoln National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
AI Portfolio Architect
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities