Befesa SA (Germany) Price Prediction
BFSA Stock | 21.84 0.06 0.27% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
27
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Befesa SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Befesa SA from the perspective of Befesa SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Befesa SA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Befesa because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Befesa SA after-hype prediction price | EUR 21.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Befesa |
Befesa SA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Befesa SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Befesa SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Befesa SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Befesa SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Befesa SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Befesa SA's historical news coverage. Befesa SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.81 and 23.87, respectively. We have considered Befesa SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Befesa SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Befesa SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Befesa SA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Befesa SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Befesa SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Befesa SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 2.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.84 | 21.84 | 0.00 |
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Befesa SA Hype Timeline
Befesa SA is currently traded for 21.84on XETRA Stock Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Befesa is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Befesa SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.84. About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Befesa SA was currently reported as 20.81. The company last dividend was issued on the 17th of June 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Befesa SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Befesa SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Befesa SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Befesa SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Befesa SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Befesa SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
JAT | Japan Tobacco | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | (0.09) | 2.27 | (2.36) | 5.59 | |
XSI | Sanyo Chemical Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.56 | (1.63) | 5.67 | |
SOQ | Soken Chemical Engineering | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
SUI | SEKISUI CHEMICAL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.75 | (0.01) | 2.00 | (1.50) | 7.63 | |
SEH | SHIN ETSU CHEMICAL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.86 | (2.35) | 7.27 | |
SUI | Sekisui Chemical Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | 0.01 | 3.57 | (1.96) | 11.67 | |
GCB | PTT Global Chemical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.55 | (4.35) | 16.35 |
Befesa SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Befesa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Befesa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Befesa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Befesa SA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Befesa SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Befesa SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Befesa SA based on analysis of Befesa SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Befesa SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Befesa SA's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Befesa SA
The number of cover stories for Befesa SA depends on current market conditions and Befesa SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Befesa SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Befesa SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Befesa SA Short Properties
Befesa SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Befesa SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Befesa SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Befesa SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Befesa SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 224.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Befesa Stock analysis
When running Befesa SA's price analysis, check to measure Befesa SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Befesa SA is operating at the current time. Most of Befesa SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Befesa SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Befesa SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Befesa SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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