Bank Of Marin Stock Price Prediction

BMRC Stock  USD 25.28  0.31  1.21%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Bank of Marin's share price is above 70 at the present time suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Bank, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

70

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bank of Marin's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bank of Marin, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Bank of Marin's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.15)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.3
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.225
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.4625
Wall Street Target Price
24.25
Using Bank of Marin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank of Marin from the perspective of Bank of Marin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bank of Marin to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bank because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bank of Marin after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 25.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Bank of Marin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Bank Stock refer to our How to Trade Bank Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.9722.8125.65
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.4721.4023.75
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.150.310.23
Details

Bank of Marin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bank of Marin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank of Marin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bank of Marin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bank of Marin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bank of Marin's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank of Marin's historical news coverage. Bank of Marin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.84 and 28.52, respectively. We have considered Bank of Marin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
25.28
25.68
After-hype Price
28.52
Upside
Bank of Marin is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank of Marin is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bank of Marin Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank of Marin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank of Marin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank of Marin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.34 
2.84
  0.09 
  0.07 
8 Events / Month
14 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
25.28
25.68
0.35 
1,092  
Notes

Bank of Marin Hype Timeline

Bank of Marin is currently traded for 25.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Bank is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 25.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.35%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Bank of Marin is about 1445.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.35. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 104.97 M. Net Income was 19.89 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 138.69 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Bank of Marin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Bank Stock refer to our How to Trade Bank Stock guide.

Bank of Marin Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bank of Marin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank of Marin's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank of Marin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank of Marin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.08)10 per month 1.12  0.01  2.53 (2.16) 9.14 
HFWAHeritage Financial 0.1 7 per month 1.54  0.08  3.20 (2.17) 19.67 
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.11  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest(0.12)6 per month 0.76 (0.12) 1.65 (1.13) 4.32 
BSRRSierra Bancorp(0.15)8 per month 2.31  0.01  3.75 (3.15) 26.66 
THFFFirst Financial 0.09 6 per month 1.53  0.03  2.56 (3.11) 17.69 
TCBKTriCo Bancshares 0.19 6 per month 1.97  0.02  3.32 (3.55) 18.17 
CTBICommunity Trust Bancorp(0.67)7 per month 1.56  0.07  3.17 (2.42) 21.98 
VABKVirginia National Bankshares 2.33 6 per month 1.31  0.03  3.79 (2.26) 8.94 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.14 8 per month 0.74  0.05  2.48 (1.80) 12.55 
FCCOFirst Community 1.72 7 per month 1.00  0.09  3.05 (2.20) 10.76 
FCAPFirst Capital 0.48 8 per month 2.07 (0.04) 6.22 (4.11) 14.42 
NBHCNational Bank Holdings(0.92)9 per month 1.62  0.04  2.64 (2.64) 17.64 
OVLYOak Valley Bancorp(0.64)3 per month 1.53  0.06  4.78 (2.77) 11.90 
LSBKLake Shore Bancorp 0.00 5 per month 1.38  0.00  3.69 (3.23) 8.64 
FNLCFirst Bancorp 0.19 6 per month 1.94  0.01  3.00 (2.81) 23.55 
NKSHNational Bankshares 0.83 6 per month 2.29  0.01  3.66 (3.46) 9.36 

Bank of Marin Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bank of Marin Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bank of Marin stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bank of Marin, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bank of Marin based on analysis of Bank of Marin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bank of Marin's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bank of Marin's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02460.02990.04570.048
Price To Sales Ratio4.643.783.363.19

Story Coverage note for Bank of Marin

The number of cover stories for Bank of Marin depends on current market conditions and Bank of Marin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank of Marin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank of Marin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Bank of Marin Short Properties

Bank of Marin's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank of Marin's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank of Marin often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank of Marin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank of Marin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16 M
Cash And Short Term Investments30.5 M

Complementary Tools for Bank Stock analysis

When running Bank of Marin's price analysis, check to measure Bank of Marin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank of Marin is operating at the current time. Most of Bank of Marin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank of Marin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank of Marin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank of Marin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA