Community Trust Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| CTBI Stock | USD 58.98 0.05 0.08% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
64
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.07 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.11 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.5533 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.8867 | Wall Street Target Price 60 |
Using Community Trust hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Community Trust Bancorp from the perspective of Community Trust response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Community Trust to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Community because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Community Trust after-hype prediction price | USD 58.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Community Trust After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Community Trust at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Community Trust or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Community Trust, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Community Trust Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Community Trust's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Community Trust's historical news coverage. Community Trust's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 56.10 and 61.34, respectively. We have considered Community Trust's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Community Trust is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Community Trust Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Community Trust Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Community Trust is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Community Trust backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Community Trust, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 2.62 | 0.21 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 13 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
58.98 | 58.72 | 0.36 |
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Community Trust Hype Timeline
Community Trust Bancorp is currently traded for 58.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Community is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 58.72. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.36%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Community Trust is about 3591.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 59.00. About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.4. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Community Trust Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2024. The entity had 11:10 split on the 13th of May 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Community Trust Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Community Trust Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Community Trust's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Community Trust's future price movements. Getting to know how Community Trust's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Community Trust may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Community Trust Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Community price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Community using various technical indicators. When you analyze Community charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Community Trust Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Community Trust stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Community Trust Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Community Trust based on analysis of Community Trust hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Community Trust's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Community Trust's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.036 | 0.041 | 0.0275 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.47 | 3.54 | 2.51 |
Story Coverage note for Community Trust
The number of cover stories for Community Trust depends on current market conditions and Community Trust's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Community Trust is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Community Trust's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Community Trust Short Properties
Community Trust's future price predictability will typically decrease when Community Trust's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Community Trust Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Community Trust's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Community Trust's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Complementary Tools for Community Stock analysis
When running Community Trust's price analysis, check to measure Community Trust's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Community Trust is operating at the current time. Most of Community Trust's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Community Trust's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Community Trust's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Community Trust to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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