Franklin Financial Services Stock Price Prediction

FRAF Stock  USD 33.72  0.17  0.51%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Franklin Financial's the stock price is roughly 65. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 30th of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Franklin, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

65

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Franklin Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Franklin Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Franklin Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Franklin Financial Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Franklin Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.08
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.129
Using Franklin Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Franklin Financial Services from the perspective of Franklin Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Franklin Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Franklin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Franklin Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 33.71  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Franklin Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.9327.3937.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.0033.4634.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.2733.5233.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Franklin Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Franklin Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Franklin Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Franklin Financial.

Franklin Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Franklin Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Franklin Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Franklin Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Franklin Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Franklin Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Franklin Financial's historical news coverage. Franklin Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.25 and 35.17, respectively. We have considered Franklin Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
33.72
33.71
After-hype Price
35.17
Upside
Franklin Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Franklin Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Franklin Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Franklin Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Franklin Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Franklin Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
1.46
  0.01 
 0.00  
10 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
33.72
33.71
0.03 
1,217  
Notes

Franklin Financial Hype Timeline

Franklin Financial is currently traded for 33.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Franklin is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 33.71. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Franklin Financial is about 18581.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.72. About 26.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.99. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Franklin Financial last dividend was issued on the 1st of November 2024. The entity had 125:100 split on the 29th of June 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Franklin Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Franklin Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Franklin Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Franklin Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Franklin Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Franklin Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HVBCHV Bancorp(0.52)3 per month 2.03  0.09  2.68 (4.11) 18.63 
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.11  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
MGYRMagyar Bancorp 0.01 8 per month 0.43  0.1  1.90 (1.22) 3.88 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.48 (5.28) 12.66 
CULLCullman Bancorp 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.30) 1.18 (1.64) 4.73 
AFBIAffinity Bancshares(0.11)7 per month 0.45 (0.20) 0.79 (0.65) 4.44 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 5 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.75 (4.31) 17.43 
SFBCSound Financial Bancorp 0.45 7 per month 1.30 (0.03) 3.05 (2.45) 9.04 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.14 8 per month 0.75  0.05  2.48 (1.80) 12.55 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.08)10 per month 1.12 (0.0005) 2.53 (2.16) 9.14 
CVLYCodorus Valley Bancorp 0.21 7 per month 0.73  0.01  2.06 (1.68) 6.38 
ACNBACNB Corporation 0.56 6 per month 2.14  0.04  3.39 (3.23) 24.94 
MPBMid Penn Bancorp(0.57)7 per month 1.40  0.01  3.12 (2.53) 8.25 
LNKBLINKBANCORP(0.06)6 per month 1.30  0.08  3.72 (2.38) 10.82 

Franklin Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Franklin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Franklin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Franklin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Franklin Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Franklin Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Franklin Financial Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Franklin Financial based on analysis of Franklin Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Franklin Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Franklin Financial's related companies.
 2021 2022 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03780.03550.0324
Price To Sales Ratio2.42.441.99

Story Coverage note for Franklin Financial

The number of cover stories for Franklin Financial depends on current market conditions and Franklin Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Franklin Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Franklin Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Franklin Financial Short Properties

Franklin Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Franklin Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Franklin Financial Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Franklin Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Franklin Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments492 M

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