Camden National Stock Price Prediction

CAC Stock  USD 47.20  0.09  0.19%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Camden National's stock price is about 62 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Camden, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Camden National's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Camden National, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Camden National's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.339
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.85
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.5
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.005
Wall Street Target Price
45.6667
Using Camden National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Camden National from the perspective of Camden National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Camden National to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Camden because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Camden National after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 46.94  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Camden National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Camden Stock refer to our How to Trade Camden Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.6739.2851.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.0745.6848.29
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.3333.3337.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.870.880.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Camden National. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Camden National's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Camden National's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Camden National.

Camden National After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Camden National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Camden National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Camden National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Camden National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Camden National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Camden National's historical news coverage. Camden National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.33 and 49.55, respectively. We have considered Camden National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
47.20
46.94
After-hype Price
49.55
Upside
Camden National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Camden National is based on 3 months time horizon.

Camden National Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Camden National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Camden National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Camden National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
2.61
  0.17 
  0.05 
9 Events / Month
14 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
47.20
46.94
0.36 
501.92  
Notes

Camden National Hype Timeline

On the 2nd of December Camden National is traded for 47.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Camden is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 46.94. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.36%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Camden National is about 1740.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 47.25. About 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Camden National last dividend was issued on the 15th of October 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 3rd of October 2016. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Camden National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Camden Stock refer to our How to Trade Camden Stock guide.

Camden National Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Camden National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Camden National's future price movements. Getting to know how Camden National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Camden National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FUNCFirst United(0.16)7 per month 0.00  0.17  2.56 (0.63) 8.08 
FCCOFirst Community 1.72 7 per month 1.02  0.08  3.05 (2.20) 10.76 
GCBCGreene County Bancorp(0.20)5 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.36 (4.03) 25.02 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares 0.16 7 per month 1.12 (0.0005) 2.53 (2.16) 9.14 
CVCYCentral Valley Community 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 6.10 (6.70) 18.72 
HBCPHome Bancorp 1.24 7 per month 1.74  0.05  3.67 (3.12) 10.19 
CULLCullman Bancorp 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.30) 1.18 (1.64) 4.73 
CBFVCB Financial Services(0.35)7 per month 1.48  0.07  2.97 (2.61) 8.05 
CIVBCivista Bancshares(0.01)9 per month 0.94  0.18  3.67 (1.94) 10.55 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.14 8 per month 0.75  0.05  2.48 (1.80) 12.55 
NFBKNorthfield Bancorp(0.15)7 per month 1.82  0.03  4.14 (2.85) 20.29 
LNKBLINKBANCORP(0.01)5 per month 1.29  0.09  3.76 (2.41) 10.93 
OPOFOld Point Financial 0.00 4 per month 1.01  0.11  3.20 (1.66) 6.43 
OVLYOak Valley Bancorp 1.79 3 per month 1.51  0.05  4.78 (2.77) 11.90 
CHMGChemung Financial Corp(0.40)6 per month 0.64  0.04  2.06 (1.09) 9.94 
AFBIAffinity Bancshares(0.11)7 per month 0.45 (0.20) 0.79 (0.65) 4.44 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.48 (5.28) 12.66 
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.11  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 5 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.75 (4.31) 17.43 
HVBCHV Bancorp(0.52)3 per month 2.03  0.09  2.68 (4.11) 18.63 

Camden National Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Camden price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Camden using various technical indicators. When you analyze Camden charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Camden National Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Camden National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Camden National, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Camden National based on analysis of Camden National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Camden National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Camden National's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02940.03850.04480.0235
Price To Sales Ratio3.933.323.45.05

Story Coverage note for Camden National

The number of cover stories for Camden National depends on current market conditions and Camden National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Camden National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Camden National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Camden National Short Properties

Camden National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Camden National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Camden National often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Camden National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Camden National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments703.5 M

Complementary Tools for Camden Stock analysis

When running Camden National's price analysis, check to measure Camden National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Camden National is operating at the current time. Most of Camden National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Camden National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Camden National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Camden National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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