China Green Agriculture Price Prediction
| CGADelisted Stock | USD 1.98 0.02 1.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using China Green hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Green Agriculture from the perspective of China Green response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China Green to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
China Green after-hype prediction price | USD 2.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
China |
China Green After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of China Green at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Green or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of China Green, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
China Green Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting China Green's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Green's historical news coverage. China Green's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 11.28, respectively. We have considered China Green's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
China Green is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Green Agriculture is based on 3 months time horizon.
China Green Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Green is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Green backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Green, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 9.03 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 5 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.98 | 2.25 | 13.64 |
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China Green Hype Timeline
On the 14th of December 2024 China Green Agriculture is traded for 1.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.29. China is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.25 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 13.64%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.47%. The volatility of related hype on China Green is about 1475.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.27. China Green Agriculture has 10.29 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.05, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. China Green Agriculture has a current ratio of 1.4, which is typical for the industry and considered as normal. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for China to invest in growth at high rates of return. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.China Green Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to China Green's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Green's future price movements. Getting to know how China Green's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Green may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| YTEN | Yield10 Bioscience | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 6.22 | (8.65) | 18.81 | |
| KPLUY | KS AG DRC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.26 | (0) | 2.94 | (3.65) | 15.06 | |
| IPI | Intrepid Potash | 1.02 | 5 per month | 2.12 | 0.01 | 4.33 | (3.28) | 14.45 | |
| BIOX | Bioceres Crop Solutions | 0.17 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.61 | (4.17) | 12.41 | |
| AVD | American Vanguard | (0.12) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.06 | (3.53) | 15.23 | |
| LVRO | Lavoro Limited Class | 0.07 | 5 per month | 3.87 | 0.01 | 9.00 | (5.91) | 24.92 | |
| ICL | ICL Israel Chemicals | (0.02) | 11 per month | 1.75 | 0.11 | 4.94 | (2.99) | 9.81 | |
| CTVA | Corteva | 2.49 | 8 per month | 1.41 | 0.01 | 2.89 | (2.12) | 7.91 | |
| CF | CF Industries Holdings | 2.37 | 11 per month | 1.46 | 0.09 | 2.23 | (2.33) | 6.82 | |
| MOS | The Mosaic | 0.73 | 12 per month | 2.43 | 0.01 | 4.43 | (3.63) | 13.09 | |
| FMC | FMC Corporation | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.12 | (3.42) | 16.03 |
China Green Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About China Green Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of China Green stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China Green Agriculture, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Green based on analysis of China Green hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China Green's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China Green's related companies.
Story Coverage note for China Green
The number of cover stories for China Green depends on current market conditions and China Green's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Green is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Green's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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China Green Short Properties
China Green's future price predictability will typically decrease when China Green's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of China Green Agriculture often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential China Green's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Green's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 58.8 M |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Other Consideration for investing in China Stock
If you are still planning to invest in China Green Agriculture check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the China Green's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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