Vita Coco Stock Price Prediction
| COCO Stock | USD 35.62 0.29 0.81% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.231 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.03 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.0667 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.1567 | Wall Street Target Price 33.2222 |
Using Vita Coco hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vita Coco from the perspective of Vita Coco response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vita Coco to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vita because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vita Coco after-hype prediction price | USD 35.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Vita |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vita Coco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vita Coco After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vita Coco at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vita Coco or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vita Coco, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vita Coco Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vita Coco's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vita Coco's historical news coverage. Vita Coco's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.89 and 37.53, respectively. We have considered Vita Coco's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vita Coco is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vita Coco is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vita Coco Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vita Coco is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vita Coco backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vita Coco, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 2.31 | 0.38 | 0.02 | 13 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
35.62 | 35.21 | 1.15 |
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Vita Coco Hype Timeline
Vita Coco is currently traded for 35.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.38, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Vita is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 35.21. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.52%. The volatility of related hype on Vita Coco is about 5775.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.60. About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.07. Vita Coco had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the March 24, 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Vita Coco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vita Coco Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vita Coco's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vita Coco's future price movements. Getting to know how Vita Coco's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vita Coco may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CELH | Celsius Holdings | 1.85 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.82 | (5.33) | 20.47 | |
| CCEP | Coca Cola European Partners | (1.12) | 11 per month | 1.10 | (0.11) | 1.62 | (1.75) | 4.77 | |
| CIRAX | Capital Income Builder | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.43 | (0.29) | 0.66 | (0.82) | 1.81 | |
| EURL | Direxion Daily FTSE | 0.08 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.74 | (5.13) | 12.68 | |
| DODWX | Dodge Global Stock | (0.28) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.08 | (1.09) | 3.17 | |
| COLL | Collegium Pharmaceutical | (0.86) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.23 | (4.47) | 12.29 | |
| DLDCX | Dreyfus Natural Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | (0.07) | 1.58 | (2.05) | 4.99 | |
| PBR-A | Petrleo Brasileiro SA | (0.03) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.27 | (2.81) | 5.66 | |
| AQPW | Signet International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Vita Coco Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vita price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vita using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vita charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Vita Coco Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vita Coco stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vita Coco, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vita Coco based on analysis of Vita Coco hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vita Coco's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vita Coco's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 47.92 | 49.11 | 49.06 | 35.98 | PTB Ratio | 5.04 | 5.46 | 7.15 | 7.73 |
Story Coverage note for Vita Coco
The number of cover stories for Vita Coco depends on current market conditions and Vita Coco's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vita Coco is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vita Coco's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vita Coco Short Properties
Vita Coco's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vita Coco's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vita Coco often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vita Coco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vita Coco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 132.5 M |
Check out Vita Coco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Vita Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vita Coco guide.You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vita Coco. If investors know Vita will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vita Coco listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.231 | Earnings Share 1 | Revenue Per Share 8.724 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets 0.1515 |
The market value of Vita Coco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vita that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vita Coco's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vita Coco's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vita Coco's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vita Coco's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vita Coco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vita Coco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vita Coco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.