Coty (Brazil) Price Prediction

COTY34 Stock  BRL 21.38  0.00  0.00%   
The value of RSI of Coty's stock price is about 64 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Coty, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

64

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Coty's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Coty Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Coty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Coty Inc from the perspective of Coty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Coty to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Coty because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Coty after-hype prediction price

    
  BRL 21.38  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Coty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.8018.5023.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Coty. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Coty's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Coty's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Coty Inc.

Coty After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Coty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Coty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Coty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Coty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Coty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Coty's historical news coverage. Coty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.68 and 24.08, respectively. We have considered Coty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
21.38
21.38
After-hype Price
24.08
Upside
Coty is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Coty Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Coty Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Coty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Coty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.29 
2.70
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
21.38
21.38
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Coty Hype Timeline

Coty Inc is currently traded for 21.38on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Coty is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on Coty is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.38. The book value of the company was currently reported as 4.14. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.76. Coty Inc last dividend was issued on the 17th of February 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Coty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Coty Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Coty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Coty's future price movements. Getting to know how Coty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Coty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Coty Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Coty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Coty using various technical indicators. When you analyze Coty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Coty Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Coty stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Coty Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Coty based on analysis of Coty hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Coty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Coty's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Coty

The number of cover stories for Coty depends on current market conditions and Coty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Coty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Coty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Coty Short Properties

Coty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Coty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Coty Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Coty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding832.3 M

Complementary Tools for Coty Stock analysis

When running Coty's price analysis, check to measure Coty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Coty is operating at the current time. Most of Coty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Coty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Coty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Coty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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